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Related papers: Bethe Projections for Non-Local Inference

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Federated learning methods enable model training across distributed data sources without data leaving their original locations and have gained increasing interest in various fields. However, existing approaches are limited, excluding many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-10 Conor Hassan , Robert Salomone , Kerrie Mengersen

Recent approaches for modelling dynamics of physical systems with neural networks enforce Lagrangian or Hamiltonian structure to improve prediction and generalization. However, when coordinates are embedded in high-dimensional data such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Yaofeng Desmond Zhong , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

Bayesian predictive inference propagates parameter uncertainty to quantities of interest through the posterior-predictive distribution. In practice, this is typically performed using a two-stage procedure: first approximating the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Nan Feng , Xun Huan

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Computing expected predictions of discriminative models is a fundamental task in machine learning that appears in many interesting applications such as fairness, handling missing values, and data analysis. Unfortunately, computing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Pasha Khosravi , YooJung Choi , Yitao Liang , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck

Tree ensembles are very popular machine learning models, known for their effectiveness in supervised classification and regression tasks. Their performance derives from aggregating predictions of multiple decision trees, which are renowned…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Lorenzo Bonasera , Emilio Carrizosa

A variety of lifted inference algorithms, which exploit model symmetry to reduce computational cost, have been proposed to render inference tractable in probabilistic relational models. Most existing lifted inference algorithms operate only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Yuqiao Chen , Yibo Yang , Sriraam Natarajan , Nicholas Ruozzi

This paper proposes a novel federated algorithm that leverages momentum-based variance reduction with adaptive learning to address non-convex settings across heterogeneous data. We intend to minimize communication and computation overhead,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Dipanwita Thakur , Antonella Guzzo , Giancarlo Fortino , Sajal K. Das

The heterogeneous network is a robust data abstraction that can model entities of different types interacting in various ways. Such heterogeneity brings rich semantic information but presents nontrivial challenges in aggregating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Nhat Tran , Jean Gao

We present a novel inference algorithm for arbitrary, binary, undirected graphs. Unlike loopy belief propagation, which iterates fixed point equations, we directly descend on the Bethe free energy. The algorithm consists of two phases,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Max Welling , Yee Whye Teh

Inference and optimization of real-value edge variables in sparse graphs are studied using the Bethe approximation and replica method of statistical physics. Equilibrium states of general energy functions involving a large set of real…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 K. Y. Michael Wong , D. Saad

We address the challenge of constructing valid confidence intervals and sets in problems of prediction across multiple environments. We investigate two types of coverage suitable for these problems, extending the jackknife and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-14 John C. Duchi , Suyash Gupta , Kuanhao Jiang , Pragya Sur

We show that many machine learning goals, such as improved fairness metrics, can be expressed as constraints on the model's predictions, which we call rate constraints. We study the problem of training non-convex models subject to these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Andrew Cotter , Heinrich Jiang , Serena Wang , Taman Narayan , Maya Gupta , Seungil You , Karthik Sridharan

Normative and task-driven theories offer powerful top-down explanations for biological systems, yet the goals of quantitatively arbitrating between competing theories, and utilizing them as inductive biases to improve data-driven fits of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Bahti Zakirov , Gašper Tkačik

In many sequential tasks, a model needs to remember relevant events from the distant past to make correct predictions. Unfortunately, a straightforward application of gradient based training requires intermediate computations to be stored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Artyom Sorokin , Nazar Buzun , Leonid Pugachev , Mikhail Burtsev

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

This paper presents robust inference methods for general linear hypotheses in linear panel data models with latent group structure in the coefficients. We employ a selective conditional inference approach, deriving the conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Oguzhan Akgun , Ryo Okui

Outstanding achievements of graph neural networks for spatiotemporal time series analysis show that relational constraints introduce an effective inductive bias into neural forecasting architectures. Often, however, the relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Andrea Cini , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

In settings where both spurious and causal predictors are available, standard neural networks trained under the objective of empirical risk minimization (ERM) with no additional inductive biases tend to have a dependence on a spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Louis McConnell

This paper addresses Bayesian inference related to partial differential equations (PDEs), particularly nonparametric regression constrained by PDEs. To effectively encode prior information, we propose a novel framework that learns a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng , Zongben Xu , Fang Yao
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