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The complexity underlying real-world systems implies that standard statistical hypothesis testing methods may not be adequate for these peculiar applications. Specifically, we show that the likelihood-ratio test's null-distribution needs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Giona Casiraghi

Study samples often differ from the target populations of inference and policy decisions in non-random ways. Researchers typically believe that such departures from random sampling -- due to changes in the population over time and space, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Tamara Broderick , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager

Statistical data is often analyzed as a contingency table, sometimes with empty cells called zeros. Such sparse tables can be due to scarse observations classified in numerous categories, as for example in genetic association studies. Thus,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Audrey Finkler

Statistical data is often analyzed as a contingency table, sometimes with empty cells called zeros. Such sparse tables can be due to scarse observations classified in numerous categories, as for example in genetic association studies. Thus,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Audrey Finkler

Linear Mixed Effects (LME) models have been widely applied in clustered data analysis in many areas including marketing research, clinical trials, and biomedical studies. Inference can be conducted using maximum likelihood approach if…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Hao Chen , Lanshan Han , Alvin Lim

We study hypothesis testing for penalized estimators in settings where the full marginal distribution of a multivariate response is difficult to specify, such as longitudinal data with correlated measurements or high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jing Zhou , Zhe Zhang

Adaptive experiments are becoming increasingly popular in real-world applications for effectively maximizing in-sample welfare and efficiency by data-driven sampling. Despite their growing prevalence, however, the statistical foundations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Ziang Niu , Zhimei Ren

We provide new limit theory for functionals of a general class of processes lying at the boundary between stationarity and nonstationarity -- what we term weakly nonstationary processes (WNPs). This includes, as leading examples, fractional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 James A. Duffy , Ioannis Kasparis

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

We propose a "small-uniform" statistic for the inference of the functional PCA estimator in a functional linear regression model. The literature has shown two extreme behaviors: on the one hand, the FPCA estimator does not converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

Inverse Ising inference allows pairwise interactions of complex binary systems to be reconstructed from empirical correlations. Typical estimators used for this inference, such as Pseudo-likelihood maximization (PLM), are biased. Using the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-19 Maximilian Benedikt Kloucek , Thomas Machon , Shogo Kajimura , C. Patrick Royall , Naoki Masuda , Francesco Turci

Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Weichang Yu , Howard D. Bondell

This paper explores strong and weak consistency of M-estimators for non-identically distributed data, extending prior work. Emphasis is given to scenarios where data is viewed as a triangular array, which encompasses distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers , Torben Staud

In the past decades, weak convergence theory for stochastic processes has become a standard tool for analyzing the asymptotic properties of various statistics. Routinely, weak convergence is considered in the space of bounded functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers , Stanislav Volgushev

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

When it is acknowledged that all candidate parameterised statistical models are misspecified relative to the data generating process, the decision maker (DM) must currently concern themselves with inference for the parameter value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Jack Jewson , Jim Q Smith , Chris Holmes

We propose a hypothesis test that allows for many tested restrictions in a heteroskedastic linear regression model. The test compares the conventional F statistic to a critical value that corrects for many restrictions and conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-24 Stanislav Anatolyev , Mikkel Sølvsten

The lack of non-parametric statistical tests for confounding bias significantly hampers the development of robust, valid and generalizable predictive models in many fields of research. Here I propose the partial and full confounder tests,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Tamas Spisak

Consider a random vector $(X,Y)$ and let $m(x)=E(Y|X=x)$. We are interested in testing $H_0:m\in {\cal M}_{\Theta,{\cal G}}=\{\gamma(\cdot,\theta,g):\theta \in \Theta,g\in {\cal G}\}$ for some known function $\gamma$, some compact set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-16 Ingrid Van Keilegom , César Sánchez Sellero , Wenceslao González Manteiga