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Probabilities in the multiverse can be calculated by assuming that we are typical representatives in a given reference class. But is this class well defined? What should be included in the ensemble in which we are supposed to be typical?…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Jaume Garriga , Alexander Vilenkin

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

We study collections of point masses which move freely along the real line and stick together when they collide via perfectly inelastic collisions. We quantify the way particles stick together and explain how to associate a probability…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Ryan Hynd

This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Max Sklar

The class of norm-dependent Random Matrix Ensembles is studied in the presence of an external field. The probability density in those ensembles depends on the trace of the squared random matrices, but is otherwise arbitrary. An exact…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Thomas Guhr

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

A density matrix $\rho$ may be represented in many different ways as a mixture of pure states, $\rho = \sum_i p_i |\psi_i\ra \la \psi_i|$. This paper characterizes the class of probability distributions $(p_i)$ that may appear in such a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. A. Nielsen

The aim of this paper is to show that the concept of probability is best understood by dividing this concept into two different types of probability, namely physical probability and analogical probability. Loosely speaking, a physical…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-04-22 Russell J. Bowater

New criteria are shown that certain combinations of finite unimodal polynomials are unimodal. %Given unimodal polynomials with explicit expressions and dependent recursion relations, we propose an approach to determine their modes. As…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-01-23 Liangxia Wan

Below is a method for relating a mixed volume computation for polytopes sharing many facet directions to a symmetric random walk. The example of permutahedra and particularly hypersimplices is expanded upon.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Eric Babson , Einar Steingrimsson

Homotopy probability theory is a version of probability theory in which the vector space of random variables is replaced with a chain complex. A natural example extends ordinary probability theory on a finite volume Riemannian manifold M.…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Gabriel C. Drummond-Cole , John Terilla

A classic network tomography problem is estimation of properties of the distribution of route traffic volumes based on counts taken on the network links. We consider inference for a general class of models for integer-valued traffic. Model…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-03 Martin L. Hazelton

We describe a maximum entropy approach for computing volumes and counting integer points in polyhedra. To estimate the number of points from a particular set X in R^n in a polyhedron P in R^n, by solving a certain entropy maximization…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-07-15 Alexander Barvinok , John Hartigan

We investigate geometric and topological properties of $d$-majorization -- a generalization of classical majorization to positive weight vectors $d \in \mathbb{R}^n$. In particular, we derive a new, simplified characterization of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Frederik vom Ende , Gunther Dirr

Using Random Matrix Theory, we propose a universal and versatile tool to reveal the existence of "fleeting modes", i.e. portfolios that carry statistically significant excess risk, signalling ex-post a change in the correlation structure in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Marc Potters , Konstantin Tikhonov

A class of probability distributions is characterized via equalities in law between two order statistics shifted by independent exponential variables. An explicit formula for the quintile function of the identified family of distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-26 M. Ahsanullah , V. B. Nevzorov , George P. Yanev

We say that a random integer variable $X$ is monotone if the modulus of the characteristic function of $X$ is decreasing on $[0,\pi]$. This is the case for many commonly encountered variables, e.g., Bernoulli, Poisson and geometric random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Anders Aamand , Noga Alon , Jakob Bæk Tejs Knudsen , Mikkel Thorup

We determine the probability thresholds for the existence of monotone paths, of finite and infinite length, in random oriented graphs with vertex set $\mathbb N^{[k]}$, the set of all increasing $k$-tuples in $\mathbb N$. These graphs…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-05 Pietro Majer , Matteo Novaga

The basic goal of quantization for probability distribution is to reduce the number of values, which is typically uncountable, describing a probability distribution to some finite set and thus approximation of a continuous probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury , Wasiela Salinas

We develop a theory of limits of finite posets in close analogy to the recent theory of graph limits. In particular, we study representations of the limits by functions of two variables on a probability space, and connections to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-02-03 Svante Janson