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Uncertainty in the prediction of future weather is commonly assessed through the use of forecast ensembles that employ a numerical weather prediction model in distinct variants. Statistical postprocessing can correct for biases in the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-16 Annette Möller , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Alex Lenkoski , Tilmann Gneiting

Earth's temperature variability can be partitioned into internal and externally-forced components. Yet, underlying mechanisms and their relative contributions remain insufficiently understood, especially on decadal to centennial timescales.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-01 Maybritt Schillinger , Beatrice Ellerhoff , Robert Scheichl , Kira Rehfeld

The reconstruction of the structure of biological tissue using electromyographic data is a non-invasive imaging method with diverse medical applications. Mathematically, this process is an inverse problem. Furthermore, electromyographic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Anna Rörich , Tim A. Werthmann , Dominik Göddeke , Lars Grasedyck

The study of protein functions attributed to the conformation and fluctuation that are ruled by both the amino acid sequence and thermodynamics, requires thermodynamic quantities given by calorimetry using thermometric techniques. The…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Manabu Ishino , Akio Kishigami , Hiroyuki Kudo , Jongsuck Bae , Tatsuo Nozokido

We extend the theory of stochastic thermodynamics in three directions: (i) instead of a continuously monitored system we consider measurements only at an arbitrary set of discrete times, (ii) we allow for imperfect measurements and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-27 Philipp Strasberg , Andreas Winter

This letter proposes a novel and highly efficient distribution system state estimation (DSSE) algorithm with nonlinear measurements from supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems. Conventional DSSE, i.e., a weighted least…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-14 Ying Zhang , Jianhui Wang

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

A statistical method is derived for the calculation of thermodynamic properties of many-body systems at low temperatures. This method is based on the self-healing diffusion Monte Carlo method for complex functions [F. A. Reboredo J. Chem.…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-03-05 Fernando A. Reboredo , Jeongnim Kim

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

We propose a new generalized-ensemble algorithm, which we refer to as the multicanonical-multioverlap algorithm. By utilizing a non-Boltzmann weight factor, this method realizes a random walk in the multi-dimensional, energy-overlap space…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Satoru G. Itoh , Yuko Okamoto

The dynamics of molecules are governed by rare event transitions between long-lived (metastable) states. To explore these transitions efficiently, many enhanced sampling protocols have been introduced that involve using simulations with…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-09-30 Maaike M. Galama , Hao Wu , Andreas Krämer , Mohsen Sadeghi , Frank Noé

The Microcanonical Ensemble computer simulation method (MCE) is used to evaluate the perturbation terms $A_i$ of the Helmholtz free energy of a Square-Well (SW) fluid. The MCE method offers a very efficient and accurate procedure for the…

We develop a spatio-temporal model to forecast sensor output at five locations in North East England. The signal is described using coupled dynamic linear models, with spatial effects specified by a Gaussian process. Data streams are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Yingying Lai , Andrew Golightly , Richard Boys

According to the recently obtained thermodynamic uncertainty relation, the microcanonical regions with a negative heat capacity can be accessed within a canonical-like description by using a thermostat with a fluctuating inverse…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Velazquez

One of the challenges in model-based control of stochastic dynamical systems is that the state transition dynamics are involved, and it is not easy or efficient to make good-quality predictions of the states. Moreover, there are not many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Behnoosh Parsa , Keshav Rajasekaran , Franziska Meier , Ashis G. Banerjee

This paper introduces a Bayesian inference framework for two-dimensional steady-state heat conduction, focusing on the estimation of unknown distributed heat sources in a thermally-conducting medium with uniform conductivity. The goal is to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-07 Hanieh Mousavi , Jeff D. Eldredge

The thermodynamics and the dynamics of particle systems with infinite-range coupling display several unusual and new features with respect to systems with short-range interactions. The Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF) model represents a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Thierry Dauxois , Vito Latora , Andrea Rapisarda , Stefano Ruffo , Alessandro Torcini

This paper presents the first thermodynamic assessment of binary and pseudo-binary phase diagrams in the Ba--La--S and Ga--La--S systems by means of the CALPHAD method. Experimental phase diagram equilibrium data and thermodynamic…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-02-20 Jiayang Wang , Guangyu Hu , Pierre Lucas , Marat I. Latypov

The development of reliable methods for estimating microcanonical averages constitutes an important issue in statistical mechanics. One possibility consists of calculating a given microcanonical quantity by means of typical relations in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Carlos E. Fiore , Cláudio J. DaSilva

We work out a superstatistical description of high-energy scattering processes that takes into account temperature fluctuations in small volume elements. For Gamma-distributed fluctuations of the inverse temperature one effectively obtains…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-08-07 Christian Beck