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Related papers: High Dimensional and Banded Vector Autoregressions

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We propose in this work a new family of kernels for variable-length time series. Our work builds upon the vector autoregressive (VAR) model for multivariate stochastic processes: given a multivariate time series x, we consider the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-01-05 Marco Cuturi , Arnaud Doucet

High-dimensional time series has diverse applications in econometrics and finance. Recent models for capturing temporal dependence have employed a bilinear representation for matrix time series, or the Tucker-decomposition based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Debika Ghosh , Samrat Roy , Nilanjana Chakraborty

As evidenced by various recent and significant papers within the frequentist literature, along with numerous applications in macroeconomics, genomics, and neuroscience, there continues to be substantial interest to understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-13 Jonathan P Williams , Yuying Xie , Jan Hannig

Autoregressive models capture stochastic processes in which past realizations determine the generative distribution of new data; they arise naturally in a variety of industrial, biomedical, and financial settings. A key challenge when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo , Rebecca Willett

Estimation of covariance matrices is a fundamental problem in multivariate statistics. Recently, growing efforts have focused on incorporating covariate effects into these matrices, facilitating subject-specific estimation. Despite these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Rakheon Kim , Emma Jingfei Zhang

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

A Bayesian multivariate model with a structured covariance matrix for multi-way nested data is proposed. This flexible modeling framework allows for positive and for negative associations among clustered observations, and generalizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Jean-Paul Fox

Convergence is a crucial issue in iterative algorithms. Damping is commonly employed to ensure the convergence of iterative algorithms. The conventional ways of damping are scalar-wise, and either heuristic or empirical. Recently, an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-16 Shunqi Huang , Lei Liu , Brian M. Kurkoski

Sparse models for high-dimensional linear regression and machine learning have received substantial attention over the past two decades. Model selection, or determining which features or covariates are the best explanatory variables, is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Yuan Li , Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett , Hyebin Song , David Neiman

We consider the estimation of the transition matrix in the high-dimensional time-varying vector autoregression (TV-VAR) models. Our model builds on a general class of locally stationary VAR processes that evolve smoothly in time. We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Xin Ding , Ziyi Qiu , Xiaohui Chen

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have become a staple in the analysis of multivariate time series and are formulated in the time domain as difference equations, with an implied covariance structure. In many contexts, it is desirable to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-04 Scott H. Holan , Tucker S. McElroy , Guohui Wu

In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-10 Christoph Mark , Claus Metzner , Ben Fabry

We introduce a new sparse estimator of the covariance matrix for high-dimensional models in which the variables have a known ordering. Our estimator, which is the solution to a convex optimization problem, is equivalently expressed as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Jacob Bien , Florentina Bunea , Luo Xiao

Motivated by Tucker tensor decomposition, this paper imposes low-rank structures to the column and row spaces of coefficient matrices in a multivariate infinite-order vector autoregression (VAR), which leads to a supervised factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Guodong Li

Estimating a covariance matrix is central to high-dimensional data analysis. Empirical analyses of high-dimensional biomedical data, including genomics, proteomics, microbiome, and neuroimaging, among others, consistently reveal strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Yifan Yang , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

We study frequentist properties of a Bayesian high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model with correlated responses. The predictors are separated into many groups and the group structure is pre-determined. Two features of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Bo Ning , Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

Individuals or companies in a large social or financial network often display rather heterogeneous behaviors for various reasons. In this work, we propose a network vector autoregressive model with a latent group structure to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Jianqing Fan

Recent works have shown an interest in investigating the frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear models under sparsity constraints. However, there exists a gap in the literature regarding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Marion Naveau , Maud Delattre , Laure Sansonnet