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We consider the problem of approximation of the solution of the backward stochastic differential equation in the Markovian case. We suppose that the trend coefficient of the diffusion process depends on some unknown parameter and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-17 Yury A. Kutoyants , Li Zhou

We investigate the parameter estimation and prediction of two forms of the stochastic SIR model driven by small L\'{e}vy noise with time-dependent periodic transmission. We present consistency and rate of convergence results for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Terry Easlick , Wei Sun

Minimizing the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is a key objective in machine learning and is commonly used for imputing missing values. While this approach provides accurate point estimates, it introduces systematic biases in downstream analyses.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Stef van Buuren

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

We introduce a variational method for analyzing limit cycle oscillators in $\mathbb{R}^d$ driven by Gaussian noise. This allows us to derive exact stochastic differential equations (SDEs) for the amplitude and phase of the solution, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-03 Paul Bressloff , James MacLaurin

We study a class of importance sampling methods for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). A small-noise analysis is performed, and the results suggest that a simple symmetrization procedure can significantly improve the performance of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Andrew Leach , Kevin K. Lin , Matthias Morzfeld

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

We study the maximum likehood estimator and least squares estimator for drift parameters of nonlinear reflected stochastic differential equations based on continuous observations. Under some regular conditions, we obtain the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

We deal with the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear transformations of the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments. Estimates are based on observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

We consider the problem of estimating the density of the process associated with the small jumps of a pure jump L\'evy process, possibly of infinite variation, from discrete observations of one trajectory. The interest of such a question…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Céline Duval , Taher Jalal , Ester Mariucci

We consider a setting, where the output of a linear dynamical system (LDS) is, with an unknown but fixed probability, replaced by noise. There, we present a robust method for the prediction of the outputs of the LDS and identification of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-06 Jakub Marecek , Tigran Tchrakian

We consider the problem of detecting a small subset of defective items from a large set via non-adaptive "random pooling" group tests. We consider both the case when the measurements are noiseless, and the case when the measurements are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-25 Chun Lam Chan , Pak Hou Che , Sidharth Jaggi , Venkatesh Saligrama

Sparse linear regression methods such as Lasso require a tuning parameter that depends on the noise variance, which is typically unknown and difficult to estimate in practice. In the presence of heavy-tailed noise or adversarial outliers,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Takeyuki Sasai , Hironori Fujisawa

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for the partially observed linear stochastic differential equation. We assume that the unobserved Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process depends on some unknown parameter and estimate the unobserved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Yury A. Kutoyants

A distributed adaptive algorithm for estimation of sparse unknown parameters in the presence of nonGaussian noise is proposed in this paper based on normalized least mean fourth (NLMF) criterion. At the first step, local adaptive NLMF…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-09 Mojtaba Hajiabadi

In this paper, adaptive estimation based on noisy quantized observations is studied. A low complexity adaptive algorithm using a quantizer with adjustable input gain and offset is presented. Three possible scalar models for the parameter to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-15 Rodrigo Cabral Farias , Jean-Marc Brossier

The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is a renowned robust alternative to the classic least squares estimator and is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Many studies exist on LTS, including its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-10 Yijun Zuo

We introduce a probabilistic approach to the LMS filter. By means of an efficient approximation, this approach provides an adaptable step-size LMS algorithm together with a measure of uncertainty about the estimation. In addition, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-11 Jesus Fernandez-Bes , Víctor Elvira , Steven Van Vaerenbergh

We suppose that a L\'evy process is observed at discrete time points. A rather general construction of minimum-distance estimators is shown to give consistent estimators of the L\'evy-Khinchine characteristics as the number of observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-29 Michael H. Neumann , Markus Reiss

We study a least squares estimator for an unknown parameter in the drift coefficient of a path- distribution dependent stochastic differential equation involving a small dispersion parameter epsilon greater than zero. The estimator, based…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Panpan Ren , Jiang-Lun Wu