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We consider the problem of regression with selectively observed covariates in a nonparametric framework. Our approach relies on instrumental variables that explain variation in the latent covariates but have no direct effect on selection.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-15 Christoph Breunig , Peter Haan

In many real-world scenarios, interested variables are often represented as discretized values due to measurement limitations. Applying Conditional Independence (CI) tests directly to such discretized data, however, can lead to incorrect…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Boyang Sun , Yu Yao , Xinshuai Dong , Zongfang Liu , Tongliang Liu , Yumou Qiu , Kun Zhang

This thesis contains a series of independent contributions to statistics, unified by a model-free perspective. The first chapter elaborates on how a model-free perspective can be used to formulate flexible methods that leverage prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Alexander Mangulad Christgau

Nonparametric feature selection in high-dimensional data is an important and challenging problem in statistics and machine learning fields. Most of the existing methods for feature selection focus on parametric or additive models which may…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Hang Yu , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

One of the central objectives of modern risk management is to find a set of risks where the probability of multiple simultaneous catastrophic events is negligible. That is, risks are taken only when their joint behavior seems sufficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Jaakko Lehtomaa , Sidney Resnick

Distinguishing causal connections from correlations is important in many scenarios. However, the presence of unobserved variables, such as the latent confounder, can introduce bias in conditional independence testing commonly employed in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yu Qiao , Yizhou Wang

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

We in this paper propose a directional regression based approach for ultrahigh dimensional sufficient variable screening with censored responses. The new method is designed in a model-free manner and thus can be adapted to various complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Menghao Xu , Zhou Yu , Jun Shao

The research paper addresses linear decomposition of time series of non-additive metrics that allows for the identification and interpretation of contributing factors (input features) of variance. Non-additive metrics, such as ratios, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Alex Glushkovsky

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

The inferential model (IM) framework provides valid prior-free probabilistic inference by focusing on predicting unobserved auxiliary variables. But, efficient IM-based inference can be challenging when the auxiliary variable is of higher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

Screening before model building is a reasonable strategy to reduce the dimension of regression problems. Sure independence screening is an efficient approach to this purpose. It applies the slope estimate of a simple linear regression as a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-21 Sheng-Mao Chang

Feature selection and reducing the dimensionality of data is an essential step in data analysis. In this work, we propose a new criterion for feature selection that is formulated as conditional information between features given the labeled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Salimeh Yasaei Sekeh , Alfred O. Hero

Policy learning utilizing observational data is pivotal across various domains, with the objective of learning the optimal treatment assignment policy while adhering to specific constraints such as fairness, budget, and simplicity. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Pan Zhao , Antoine Chambaz , Julie Josse , Shu Yang

We consider a nonparametric regression model with continuous endogenous independent variables when only discrete instruments are available that are independent of the error term. Although this framework is very relevant for applied…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-18 Samuele Centorrino , Frédérique Fève , Jean-Pierre Florens

We introduce a nonresponse mechanism for multivariate missing data in which each study variable and its nonresponse indicator are conditionally independent given the remaining variables and their nonresponse indicators. This is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-05 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

This paper revisits the identification and estimation of a class of semiparametric (distribution-free) panel data binary choice models with lagged dependent variables, exogenous covariates, and entity fixed effects. We provide a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-26 Christopher R. Dobronyi , Fu Ouyang , Thomas Tao Yang

Conditional independence testing (CIT) is a common task in machine learning, e.g., for variable selection, and a main component of constraint-based causal discovery. While most current CIT approaches assume that all variables are numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Oana-Iuliana Popescu , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

We introduce local conditional hypotheses that express how the relation between explanatory variables and outcomes changes across different contexts, described by covariates. By expanding upon the model-X knockoff filter, we show how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Paula Gablenz , Matteo Sesia , Tianshu Sun , Chiara Sabatti
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