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We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

A considerable number of systems have recently been reported in which Brownian yet non-Gaussian dynamics was observed. These are processes characterised by a linear growth in time of the mean squared displacement, yet the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-26 V. Sposini , A. V. Chechkin , F. Seno , G. Pagnini , R. Metzler

Diffusion with stochastic transport is investigated here when the random driving process is a very general Gaussian process, including Fractional Brownian motion. The purpose is the comparison with a deterministic PDE, which in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Russo

This paper presents a new parameter estimation method for It\^{o} diffusions such that the resulting model predicts the equilibrium statistics as well as the sensitivities of the underlying system to external disturbances. Our formulation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 John Harlim , Xiantao Li , He Zhang

In this paper, enlightened by the asymptotic expansion methodology developed by Li(2013b) and Li and Chen (2016), we propose a Taylor-type approximation for the transition densities of the stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-16 Fan Jiang , Xin Zang , Jingping Yang

We revisit the variational characterization of conservative diffusion as entropic gradient flow and provide for it a probabilistic interpretation based on stochastic calculus. It was shown by Jordan, Kinderlehrer, and Otto that, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Ioannis Karatzas , Walter Schachermayer , Bertram Tschiderer

The stochastic solution with Gaussian stationary increments is establihsed for the symmetric space-time fractional diffusion equation when $0 < \beta < \alpha \le 2$, where $0 < \beta \le 1$ and $0 < \alpha \le 2$ are the fractional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-18 Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

We revisit the variational characterization of diffusion as entropic gradient flux and provide for it a probabilistic interpretation based on stochastic calculus. It was shown by Jordan, Kinderlehrer, and Otto that, for diffusions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Ioannis Karatzas , Walter Schachermayer , Bertram Tschiderer

We derive Wasserstein distance bounds between the probability distributions of a stochastic integral (It\^o) process with jumps $(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ and a jump-diffusion process $(X^\ast_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$. Our bounds are expressed using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Jean-Christophe Breton , Nicolas Privault

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, when one only has access to time-discretized solutions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We investigate the problem of joint statistical estimation of several parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Based on discrete-time observations of the model, we construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

We consider the solution to a stochastic differential equation with a drift function which depends smoothly on some real parameter $\lambda$, and admitting a unique invariant measure for any value of $\lambda$ around $\lambda$ = 0. Our aim…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-07 Roland Assaraf , Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Raphaël Roux

We consider stochastic diffusion processes absorbed at the boundary of a domain. It is shown that there exist initial distributions which ensure a given decreasing of density of the absorbed process.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Consider a multidimensional diffusion process $X=\{X\left(t\right) :t\in\lbrack0,1]\}$. Let $\varepsilon>0$ be a \textit{deterministic}, user defined, tolerance error parameter. Under standard regularity conditions on the drift and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen , Jing Dong

In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

We study diffusion of particles in large-scale simulations of one-dimensional stochastic sandpiles, in both the restricted and unrestricted versions. The results indicate that the diffusion constant scales in the same manner as the activity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 S. D. da Cunha , Ronaldo R. Vidigal , L. R. da Silva , Ronald Dickman

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma r_t^\beta dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants, $\beta\in(\frac12,1)$. We study the estimation of an unknown drift parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Olena Dehtiar

It is considered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $ x_t = x_0 e^{-\theta t} + \mu (1-e^{-\theta t}) + \sigma \int_0^t e^{-\theta (t-s)} dW_s$, where $x_0 \in R$, $\theta>0$, $ \mu \in R$ and $\sigma > 0$ are parameters. By use values $(z_k)_{k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Levan Labadze , Gogi Pantsulaia