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Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a well-established statistical tool for modeling complex nonlinear relationships between covariates and a response assumed to have a conditional distribution in the exponential family. In this article,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Oswaldo Gressani , Philippe Lambert

An assumed density approximate likelihood is derived for a class of partially observed stochastic compartmental models which permit observational over-dispersion. This is achieved by treating time-varying reporting probabilities as latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-22 Michael Whitehouse

This paper is devoted to the theoretical and numerical investigation of an augmented Lagrangian method for the solution of optimization problems with geometric constraints. Specifically, we study situations where parts of the constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Xiaoxi Jia , Christian Kanzow , Patrick Mehlitz , Gerd Wachsmuth

Latent variable models represent a useful tool for the analysis of complex data when the constructs of interest are not observable. A problem related to these models is that the integrals involved in the likelihood function cannot be solved…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-05 Silvia Bianconcini , Silvia Cagnone , Dimitris Rizopoulos

The crucial step in designing a particle filter for a particular application is the choice of importance density. The optimal scheme is to use the conditional posterior density of the state, but this cannot be sampled or calculated…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-15 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

Gaussian processes are powerful non-parametric probabilistic models for stochastic functions. However, the direct implementation entails a complexity that is computationally intractable when the number of observations is large, especially…

Laplace approximations are classic, computationally lightweight means for constructing Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). As in other approximate BNNs, one cannot necessarily expect the induced predictive uncertainty to be calibrated. Here we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Agustinus Kristiadi , Matthias Hein , Philipp Hennig

In this paper, we present a stochastic augmented Lagrangian approach on (possibly infinite-dimensional) Riemannian manifolds to solve stochastic optimization problems with a finite number of deterministic constraints.We investigate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Caroline Geiersbach , Tim Suchan , Kathrin Welker

Nowadays, l1 penalized likelihood has absorbed a high amount of consideration due to its simplicity and well developed theoretical properties. This method is known as a reliable method in order to apply in a broad range of applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-12 Hamed Haselimashhadi

We propose a high-order version of the augmented Lagrangian method for solving convex optimization problems with linear constraints, which achieves arbitrarily fast -- and even superlinear -- convergence rates. First, we analyze the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Young-Ju Lee , Jongho Park

Importance sampling (IS) is valuable in reducing the variance of Monte Carlo sampling for many areas, including finance, rare event simulation, and Bayesian inference. It is natural and obvious to combine quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Zhijian He , Zhan Zheng , Xiaoqun Wang

This note attempts to revisit the classical results on Laplace approximation in a modern non-asymptotic and dimension free form. Such an extension is motivated by applications to high dimensional statistical and optimization problems. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

For predictive modeling relying on Bayesian inversion, fully independent, or ``mean-field'', Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions in variational inference since the number of variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-14 Wyatt Bridgman , Reese Jones , Mohammad Khalil

This paper studies computationally and theoretically attractive estimators called the Laplace type estimators (LTE), which include means and quantiles of Quasi-posterior distributions defined as transformations of general…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-20 Victor Chernozhukov , Han Hong

This paper develops methodology that provides a toolbox for routinely fitting complex models to realistic spatial point pattern data. We consider models that are based on log-Gaussian Cox processes and include local interaction in these by…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-10 Janine B. Illian , Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Håvard Rue

Consider semiparametric estimation where a doubly robust estimating function for a low-dimensional parameter is available, depending on two working models. With high-dimensional data, we develop regularized calibrated estimation as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-28 Satyajit Ghosh , Zhiqiang Tan

Classical frequentist approaches to inference for the lasso emphasize exact coverage for each feature, which requires debiasing and severs the connection between confidence intervals and the original lasso estimates. To address this, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Logan Harris , Patrick Breheny

Generalized nonlinear programming is considered without any convexity assumption, capturing a variety of problems that include nonsmooth objectives, combinatorial structures, and set-membership nonlinear constraints. We extend the augmented…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Alberto De Marchi

In this paper, we introduce a new reduced basis methodology for accelerating the computation of large parameterized systems of high-fidelity integral equations. Core to our methodology is the use of coarse-proxy models (i.e., lower…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Philip A. Etter , Yuwei Fan , Lexing Ying

In this paper approximations of three classes of fractional derivatives (FD) using modified Gauss integration (MGI) and Gauss-Laguerre integration (GLI) are considered. The main solutions of these fractional derivatives depend on inverse of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-14 H. Fallahgoul , S. M. Hashemiparast