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We study Edgeworth expansions in limit theorems for self-normalized sums. Non-uniform bounds for expansions in the central limit theorem are established while only imposing minimal moment conditions. Within this result, we address the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Pascal Beckedorf , Angelika Rohde

We introduce a finite version of free probability for rectangular matrices that amounts to operations on singular values of polynomials. We show that we can replicate the transforms from free probability, and that asymptotically there is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-25 Aurelien Gribinski

A sequential importance sampling algorithm is developed for the distribution that results when a matrix of independent, but not identically distributed, Bernoulli random variables is conditioned on a given sequence of row and column sums.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-18 Matthew T. Harrison , Jeffrey W. Miller

We give the proof of a tight lower bound on the probability that a binomial random variable exceeds its expected value. The inequality plays an important role in a variety of contexts, including the analysis of relative deviation bounds in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

In this article, we prove new inequalities between some common probability metrics. Using these inequalities, we obtain novel local limit theorems for the magnetization in the Curie-Weiss model at high temperature, the number of triangles…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

In this paper, we give a general time-varying parameter model, where the multidimensional parameter possibly includes jumps. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated value over time of the parameter process $\Theta = T^{-1}…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-22 Yoann Potiron , Per Mykland

We present a limit theorem describing the behavior of a probabilistic model for square-free numbers. The limiting distribution has a density that comes from the Dickman-De Bruijn function and is constant on the interval $[0,1]$. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Francesco Cellarosi , Yakov G. Sinai

We show that for every ergodic and aperiodic probability preserving system, there exists a $\mathbb{Z}$ valued, square integrable function $f$ such that the partial sums process of the time series $\left\{f\circ T^i\right\}_{i=0}^\infty$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Zemer Kosloff , Dalibor Volny

A local projection model is defined by a set of linear regressions that account for the associations between exogenous variables and an endogenous variable observed at different time points. While it is standard practice to separately…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Masahiro Tanaka

In this paper, we give the central limit theorem and almost sure central limit theorem for products of some partial sums of independent identically distributed random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-01 Yu Miao

In this paper, we prove a conditional limit theorem for independent not necessarily identically distributed random variables. Namely, we obtain the asymptotic distribution of a large number of them given the sum.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Dimbihery Rabenoro

This paper investigates a local central limit theorem for a normalized sequence of random variables belonging to a fixed order Wiener chaos and converging to the standard normal distribution. We prove, without imposing any additional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Masahisa Ebina , Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Many classical objects of study related to the geometry/topology of smooth Gaussian fields (e.g., the volume, surface area or Euler characteristic of excursion sets) have a `locality' property which is crucial to their analysis. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Michael McAuley

We develop a novel asymptotic theory for local polynomial extremum estimators of time-varying parameters in a broad class of nonlinear time series models. We show the proposed estimators are consistent and follow normal distributions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-25 Dennis Kristensen , Young Jun Lee

In Bayesian classification, it is important to establish a probabilistic model for each class for likelihood estimation. Most of the previous methods modeled the probability distribution in the whole sample space. However, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Chengsheng Mao , Lijuan Lu , Bin Hu

We prove central limit theorems, Berry-Esseen type theorems, almost sure invariance principles, large deviations and Livsic type regularity for partial sums of the form $S_n=\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}f_j(...,X_{j-1},X_j,X_{j+1},...)$, where $(X_j)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Yeor Hafouta

Consider a set of $n$ vertices, where each vertex has a location in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that is sampled uniformly from the unit cube in $\mathbb{R}^d$, and a weight associated to it. Construct a random graph by placing edges independently for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Remco van der Hofstad , Pim van der Hoorn , Neeladri Maitra

In this paper we use probabilistic methods to derive some results on the generalized Bernoulli and generalized Euler polynomials. Our approach is based on the properties of Appell polynomials associated with uniformly distributed and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-18 Bao Quoc Ta

We derive a central limit theorem for the mean-square of random waves in the high-frequency limit over shrinking sets. Our proof applies to any compact Riemannian manifold of arbitrary dimension, thanks to the universality of the local Weyl…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Matthew de Courcy-Ireland , Marius Lemm

We give a new, self-contained proof of the multidimensional central limit theorem using the technique of ``doubling variables," which is traditionally used to prove uniqueness of solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs). Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Louigi Addario-Berry , Gavin Barill , Erin Beckman , Jessica Lin
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