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We introduce algorithms for online, full-information prediction that are competitive with contextual tree experts of unknown complexity, in both probabilistic and adversarial settings. We show that by incorporating a probabilistic framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Vidya Muthukumar , Mitas Ray , Anant Sahai , Peter L. Bartlett

A key challenge in online learning is that classical algorithms can be slow to adapt to changing environments. Recent studies have proposed "meta" algorithms that convert any online learning algorithm to one that is adaptive to changing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-08 Kwang-Sung Jun , Francesco Orabona , Stephen Wright , Rebecca Willett

We extend and combine several tools of the literature to design fast, adaptive, anytime and scale-free online learning algorithms. Scale-free regret bounds must scale linearly with the maximum loss, both toward large losses and toward very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Laurent Orseau , Marcus Hutter

In online learning an algorithm plays against an environment with losses possibly picked by an adversary at each round. The generality of this framework includes problems that are not adversarial, for example offline optimization, or saddle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Ryan D'Orazio , Ruitong Huang

We consider a variation on the problem of prediction with expert advice, where new forecasters that were unknown until then may appear at each round. As often in prediction with expert advice, designing an algorithm that achieves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-01 Jaouad Mourtada , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We study online learning problems in which the learner has extra knowledge about the adversary's behaviour, i.e., in game-theoretic settings where opponents typically follow some no-external regret learning algorithms. Under this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Le Cong Dinh , Tri-Dung Nguyen , Alain Zemkoho , Long Tran-Thanh

We develop the first parameter-free algorithms for the Stochastically Extended Adversarial (SEA) model, a framework that bridges adversarial and stochastic online convex optimization. Existing approaches for the SEA model require prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Shuche Wang , Adarsh Barik , Peng Zhao , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We consider the problem setting of prediction with expert advice with possibly heavy-tailed losses, i.e. the only assumption on the losses is an upper bound on their second moments, denoted by $\theta$. We develop adaptive algorithms that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Antoine Moulin , Emmanuel Esposito , Dirk van der Hoeven

Prediction with experts' advice is one of the most fundamental problems in online learning and captures many of its technical challenges. A recent line of work has looked at online learning through the lens of differential equations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Victor Sanches Portella , Christopher Liaw , Nicholas J. A. Harvey

We consider a general framework of online learning with expert advice where regret is defined with respect to sequences of experts accepted by a weighted automaton. Our framework covers several problems previously studied, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

This paper presents a new framework for analyzing and designing no-regret algorithms for dynamic (possibly adversarial) systems. The proposed framework generalizes the popular online convex optimization framework and extends it to its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Ian Gemp , Sridhar Mahadevan

Parameter-free algorithms are online learning algorithms that do not require setting learning rates. They achieve optimal regret with respect to the distance between the initial point and any competitor. Yet, parameter-free algorithms do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Keyi Chen , Ashok Cutkosky , Francesco Orabona

We study online learning settings in which experts act strategically to maximize their influence on the learning algorithm's predictions by potentially misreporting their beliefs about a sequence of binary events. Our goal is twofold.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Rupert Freeman , David M. Pennock , Chara Podimata , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

We develop a novel and generic algorithm for the adversarial multi-armed bandit problem (or more generally the combinatorial semi-bandit problem). When instantiated differently, our algorithm achieves various new data-dependent regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Chen-Yu Wei , Haipeng Luo

We consider the classical problem of prediction with expert advice. In the fixed-time setting, where the time horizon is known in advance, algorithms that achieve the optimal regret are known when there are two, three, or four experts or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Nicholas J. A. Harvey , Christopher Liaw , Edwin Perkins , Sikander Randhawa

We study a generalization of the online binary prediction with expert advice framework where at each round, the learner is allowed to pick $m\geq 1$ experts from a pool of $K$ experts and the overall utility is a modular or submodular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Omid Sadeghi , Maryam Fazel

We consider online learning problems in the realizable setting, where there is a zero-loss solution, and propose new Differentially Private (DP) algorithms that obtain near-optimal regret bounds. For the problem of online prediction from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hilal Asi , Vitaly Feldman , Tomer Koren , Kunal Talwar

Making use of predictions is a crucial, but under-explored, area of online algorithms. This paper studies a class of online optimization problems where we have external noisy predictions available. We propose a stochastic prediction error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-28 Niangjun Chen , Anish Agarwal , Adam Wierman , Siddharth Barman , Lachlan L. H. Andrew

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Piao Hu , Jiashuo Jiang , Guodong Lyu , Hao Su

We design and analyze algorithms for online linear optimization that have optimal regret and at the same time do not need to know any upper or lower bounds on the norm of the loss vectors. Our algorithms are instances of the Follow the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-15 Francesco Orabona , Dávid Pál