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Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Nonparametric Bayesian approaches to clustering, information retrieval, language modeling and object recognition have recently shown great promise as a new paradigm for unsupervised data analysis. Most contributions have focused on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Ian Porteous , Alexander T. Ihler , Padhraic Smyth , Max Welling

Choosing the number of mixture components remains an elusive challenge. Model selection criteria can be either overly liberal or conservative and return poorly-separated components of limited practical use. We formalize non-local priors…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-12 Jairo Fúquene , Mark Steel , David Rossell

We consider the Bayesian mixture of finite mixtures (MFMs) and Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) models for clustering. Recent asymptotic theory has established that DPMs overestimate the number of clusters for large samples and that…

Semi-supervised learning has proven to be a powerful paradigm for leveraging unlabeled data to mitigate the reliance on large labeled datasets. In this work, we unify the current dominant approaches for semi-supervised learning to produce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-25 David Berthelot , Nicholas Carlini , Ian Goodfellow , Nicolas Papernot , Avital Oliver , Colin Raffel

This paper addresses challenges in flexibly modeling multimodal data that lie on constrained spaces. Such data are commonly found in spatial applications, such as climatology and criminology, where measurements are restricted to a…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-03 Putu Ayu Sudyanti , Vinayak Rao

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

The label switching problem arises in the Bayesian analysis of models containing multiple indistinguishable parameters with arbitrary ordering. Any permutation of these parameters is equivalent, therefore models with many such parameters…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-30 Riccardo Buscicchio , Elinore Roebber , Janna M. Goldstein , Christopher J. Moore

A wide class of Bayesian models involve unidentifiable random matrices that display rotational ambiguity, with the Gaussian factor model being a typical example. A rich variety of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have been…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-16 Evan Poworoznek , Niccolo Anceschi , Federico Ferrari , David Dunson

Modern manufacturing systems often experience multiple and unpredictable failure behaviors, yet most existing prognostic models assume a fixed, known set of failure modes with labeled historical data. This assumption limits the use of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Kani Fu , Sanduni S Disanayaka Mudiyanselage , Chunli Dai , Minhee Kim

Uncertainty quantification is one of the most crucial tasks to obtain trustworthy and reliable machine learning models for decision making. However, most research in this domain has only focused on problems with small label spaces and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Jyun-Yu Jiang , Wei-Cheng Chang , Jiong Zhong , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Hsiang-Fu Yu

Many scientific and engineering problems require to perform Bayesian inferences in function spaces, in which the unknowns are of infinite dimension. In such problems, many standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms become arbitrary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Zhe Feng , Jinglai Li

The recently advanced unsupervised learning approaches use the siamese-like framework to compare two "views" from the same image for learning representations. Making the two views distinctive is a core to guarantee that unsupervised methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Zhiqiang Shen , Zechun Liu , Zhuang Liu , Marios Savvides , Trevor Darrell , Eric Xing

When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-19 Yuling Yao , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Finite mixture models are useful in applied econometrics. They can be used to model unobserved heterogeneity, which plays major roles in labor economics, industrial organization and other fields. Mixtures are also convenient in dealing with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-08 Yuichi Kitamura , Louise Laage

Computational couplings of Markov chains provide a practical route to unbiased Monte Carlo estimation that can utilize parallel computation. However, these approaches depend crucially on chains meeting after a small number of transitions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-14 Brian L. Trippe , Tin D. Nguyen , Tamara Broderick

We consider a binary unsupervised classification problem where each observation is associated with an unobserved label that we want to retrieve. More precisely, we assume that there are two groups of observation: normal and abnormal. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-05-05 Stevenn Volant , Marie-Laure Martin Magniette , Stéphane Robin

Estimating the number of components is a fundamental challenge in unsupervised learning, particularly when dealing with high-dimensional data with many components or severely imbalanced component sizes. This paper addresses this challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-22 Huan Qing

The problem of estimating the ratio of the means of a two-component Poisson mixture model is considered, when each component is subject to zero-inflation, i.e., excess zero counts. The. resulting {\it zero-inflated Poisson mixture (ZIPM)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Michael D. Perlman