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We propose a novel framework to study viral spreading processes in metapopulation models. Large subpopulations (i.e., cities) are connected via metalinks (i.e., roads) according to a metagraph structure (i.e., the traffic infrastructure).…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-20 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham

Time-varying network topologies can deeply influence dynamical processes mediated by them. Memory effects in the pattern of interactions among individuals are also known to affect how diffusive and spreading phenomena take place. In this…

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

Promoting some typical spreading dynamics, for instance, the spreading of information, commercial message, vaccination guidance, innovation, and political movement, can bring benefits to all aspects of the socio-economic systems. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-25 Dan Yang , Jiajun Xian , Liming Pan , Wei Wang , Tao Zhou

We consider an SEIR epidemic model on a network also allowing random contacts, where recovered individuals could either recover naturally or be diagnosed. Upon diagnosis, manual contact tracing is triggered such that each infected network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-06 Dongni Zhang , Tom Britton

Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central component. We consider the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 L. Böttcher , O. Woolley-Meza , E. Goles , D. Helbing , H. J. Herrmann

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) equations and their extensions comprise a commonly utilized set of models for understanding and predicting the course of an epidemic. In practice, it is of substantial interest to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-07 Omar Melikechi , Alexander L. Young , Tao Tang , Trevor Bowman , David Dunson , James Johndrow

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in adaptive networks of arbitrary topology. We focus our study on the adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) model, where healthy individuals are allowed to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

The simplest epidemiologic model composed by mutually exclusive compartments SIR (susceptible-infected-susceptible) is presented to describe a reality. From health concerns to situations related with marketing, informatics or even…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-09 Helena Sofia Rodrigues

In this paper, we study the $SIS$ (susceptible-infected-susceptible) and $SIR$ (susceptible-infected-removed) epidemic models on undirected, weighted networks by deriving pairwise-type approximate models coupled with individual-based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-22 Prapanporn Rattana , Konstantin B. Blyuss , Ken T. D. Eames , Istvan Z. Kiss

Network science has increasingly become central to the field of epidemiology and our ability to respond to infectious disease threats. However, many networks derived from modern datasets are not just large, but dense, with a high ratio of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-11 Alexander M. Mercier , Samuel V. Scarpino , Cristopher Moore

The outcome of SIR epidemics with heterogeneous infective lifetimes, or heterogeneous susceptibilities, can be mapped onto a directed percolation process on the underlying contact network. In this paper we study SIR models where…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-01 G. J. Baxter , G. Timár

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann

Pandemic distribution of COVID-19 in the world has motivated us to discuss combined effects of network clustering and adaptivity on epidemic spreading. We address the question concerning the choice of optimal mechanism for most effective…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 O. Valba , V. Avetisov , A. Gorsky , S. Nechaev

In the present work the spread of epidemic is studied over complex networks which are characterized by power law degree distribution of links and heterogeneous rate of disease transmission. The random allocation of epidemic transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-19 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao

Bus transportation is considered as one of the most convenient and cheapest modes of public transportation in Indian cities. Due to their cost-effectiveness and wide reachability, they help a significant portion of the human population in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-28 Atanu Chatterjee , Gitakrishnan Ramadurai , Krishna Jagannathan

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

We consider an epidemic model of SIR type set on a homogeneous tree and investigate the spreading properties of the epidemic as a function of the degree of the tree, the intrinsic basic reproduction number and the strength of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Christophe Besse , Grégory Faye