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Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

We study a social network consisting of over $10^4$ individuals, with a degree distribution exhibiting two power scaling regimes separated by a critical degree $k_{\rm crit}$, and a power law relation between degree and local clustering. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Gabor Csanyi , Balazs Szendroi

To address the need for efficient inference for a range of hydrological extreme value problems, spatial pooling of information is the standard approach for marginal tail estimation. We propose the first extreme value spatial clustering…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Christian Rohrbeck , Jonathan A Tawn

The sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraint is that there exists a unique series in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Natalia Markovich

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

We investigate an extremal dynamics model of evolution with a variable number of units. Due to addition and removal of the units, the topology of the network evolves and the network splits into several clusters. The activity is mostly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Frantisek Slanina , Miroslav Kotrla

The dynamics of decisions in complex networks is studied within a Markov process framework using numerical simulations combined with mathematical insight into the process mechanisms. A mathematical discrete-time model is derived based on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-01 Carlos Rodríguez Lucatero , Luis Alarcón , Roberto Bernal Jaquez , Alexander Schaum

We present the mathematical analysis of generalized complex contagions in clustered multiplex networks for susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)-like dynamics. The model is intended to understand diffusion of influence, or any other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-01 Yong Zhuang , Alex Arenas , Osman Yağan

We consider the clustering of extremes for stationary regularly varying random fields over arbitrary growing index sets. We study sufficient assumptions on the index set such that the limit of the point random fields of the exceedances…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Riccardo Passeggeri , Olivier Wintenberger

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Symmetries are an essential feature of complex networks as they regulate how the graph collective dynamics organizes into clustered states. We here show how to control network symmetries, and how to enforce patterned states of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 L. V. Gambuzza , M. Frasca , F. Sorrentino , L. M. Pecora , S. Boccaletti

Our goal is to quickly find top $k$ lists of nodes with the largest degrees in large complex networks. If the adjacency list of the network is known (not often the case in complex networks), a deterministic algorithm to find a node with the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-02-16 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Nelly Litvak , Marina Sokol , Don Towsley

We generalize the concept of extremal index of a stationary random sequence to the series scheme of identically distributed random variables with random series sizes tending to infinity in probability. We introduce new extremal indices…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Alexey V. Lebedev

Understanding dependence structure among extreme values plays an important role in risk assessment in environmental studies. In this work we propose the $\chi$ network and the annual extremal network for exploring the extremal dependence…

Using Monte Carlo and analytic techniques, we study a minimal dynamic network involving two populations of nodes, characterized by different preferred degrees. Reminiscent of introverts and extroverts in a population, one set of nodes,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-28 Wenjia Liu , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

Online social network services provide a platform for human social interactions. Nowadays, many kinds of online interactions generate large-scale social network data. Network analysis helps to mine knowledge and pattern from the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Andry Alamsyah , Yahya Peranginangin , Intan Muchtadi-Alamsyah , Budi Rahardjo , Kuspriyanto

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

In this article there is no intention to repeat basic concepts about risk management, but we will try to define why often is usefull the time series analysis during the assessment of risks, and how is possible to compute a significative…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-13 Gianluca Rosso

Robustness in response to unexpected events is always desirable for real-world networks. To improve the robustness of any networked system, it is important to analyze vulnerability to external perturbation such as random failures or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Alan Kuhnle , Nam P. Nguyen , Thang N. Dinh , My T. Thai

Most real complex networks -- such as protein interactions, social contacts, the internet -- are only partially known and available to us. While the process of exploring such networks in many cases resembles a random walk, it becomes a key…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-19 Luciano da Fontoura Costa