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State-space smoothing has found many applications in science and engineering. Under linear and Gaussian assumptions, smoothed estimates can be obtained using efficient recursions, for example Rauch-Tung-Striebel and Mayne-Fraser algorithms.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-27 A. Y. Aravkin , J. V. Burke , L. Ljung , A. Lozano , G. Pillonetto

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We present a new algorithm for community detection. The algorithm uses random walks to embed the graph in a space of measures, after which a modification of $k$-means in that space is applied. The algorithm is therefore fast and easily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-11 Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

When estimating area means, direct estimators based on area-specific data, are usually consistent under the sampling design without model assumptions. However, they are inefficient if the area sample size is small. In small area estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 William Acero , Isabel Molina , J. Miguel Marín

Archetypal scenarios for change detection generally consider two images acquired through sensors of the same modality. However, in some specific cases such as emergency situations, the only images available may be those acquired through…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Vinicius Ferraris , Nicolas Dobigeon , Yanna Cavalcanti , Thomas Oberlin , Marie Chabert

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

This work presents the spatial error model with heteroskedasticity, which allows the joint modeling of the parameters associated with both the mean and the variance, within a traditional approach to spatial econometrics. The estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 J. D. Toloza , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

Community detection is a fundamental problem in network analysis which is made more challenging by overlaps between communities which often occur in practice. Here we propose a general, flexible, and interpretable generative model for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-16 Yuan Zhang , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Spatiotemporal data consisting of timestamps, GPS coordinates, and IDs occurs in many settings. Modeling approaches for this type of data must address challenges in terms of sensor noise, uneven sampling rates, and non-persistent IDs. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Pranay Pherwani , Nicholas Hass , Anna K. Yanchenko

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

Subsampling is one of the popular methods to balance statistical efficiency and computational efficiency in the big data era. Most approaches aim at selecting informative or representative sample points to achieve good overall information…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-10 Haolin Chen , Holger Dette , Jun Yu

Gaussian processes provide a flexible framework for spatial prediction, but their computational cost limits applicability to large-scale data with large sample size $n$. Predictive processes (PPs), a popular low-rank approximation, mitigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Nicolas Bianco , Nadja Klein

Motivated by the need for computationally tractable spatial methods in neuroimaging studies, we develop a distributed and integrated framework for estimation and inference of Gaussian process model parameters with ultra-high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich , Ani Eloyan

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

We establish efficient approximate counting algorithms for several natural problems in local lemma regimes. In particular, we consider the probability of intersection of events and the dimension of intersection of subspaces. Our approach is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Ryan L. Mann , Gabriel Waite

We consider the problem of joint estimation of structured inverse covariance matrices. We perform the estimation using groups of measurements with different covariances of the same unknown structure. Assuming the inverse covariances to span…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-23 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

Detecting change points sequentially in a streaming setting, especially when both the mean and the variance of the signal can change, is often a challenging task. A key difficulty in this context often involves setting an appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Nauman Ahad , Mark A. Davenport , Yao Xie

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran