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Model error covariances play a central role in the performance of data assimilation methods applied to nonlinear state-space models. However, these covariances are largely unknown in most of the applications. A misspecification of the model…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-06 María Magdalena Lucini , Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Manuel Pulido

This article proposes an efficient Bayesian inference for piecewise exponential hazard (PEH) models, which allow the effect of a covariate on the survival time to vary over time. The proposed inference methodology is based on a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-01 Parfait Munezero

Mathematical models implemented on a computer have become the driving force behind the acceleration of the cycle of scientific processes. This is because computer models are typically much faster and economical to run than physical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Mookyong Son , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is of key importance for inference in latent variable models including mixture of regressors and experts, missing observations. This paper introduces a novel EM algorithm, called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

The particle-based, rapid incremental smoother (PARIS) is a sequential Monte Carlo technique allowing for efficient online approximation of expectations of additive functionals under Feynman--Kac path distributions. Under weak assumptions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Gabriel Cardoso , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Intelligent real-world systems critically depend on expressive information about their system state and changing operation conditions, e.g., due to variation in temperature, location, wear, or aging. To provide this information, online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Björn Volkmann , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Thomas Seel , Michael Meindl

In recent years, the accuracy of gaze estimation techniques has gradually improved, but existing methods often rely on large datasets or large models to improve performance, which leads to high demands on computational resources. In terms…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Zhang Cheng , Yanxia Wang , Guoyu Xia

Evolution Strategy (ES) algorithms have shown promising results in training complex robotic control policies due to their massive parallelism capability, simple implementation, effective parameter-space exploration, and fast training time.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Kuang-Huei Lee , Ofir Nachum , Tingnan Zhang , Sergio Guadarrama , Jie Tan , Wenhao Yu

A generic algorithm for the extraction of probabilistic (Bayesian) information about model parameters from data is presented. The algorithm propagates an ensemble of particles in the product space of model parameters and outputs. Each…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-18 Carlo Albert

Probit models are useful for modeling correlated discrete responses in many disciplines, including consumer choice data in economics and marketing. However, the Gaussian latent variable feature of probit models coupled with identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Patrick Ding , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu , Yinyu Ye

Online data assimilation in time series models over a large spatial extent is an important problem in both geosciences and robotics. Such models are intrinsically high-dimensional, rendering traditional particle filter algorithms…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-31 Jameson Quinn

This paper addresses the challenge of probabilistic parameter estimation given measurement uncertainty in real-time. We provide a general formulation and apply this to pose estimation for an autonomous visual landing system. We present…

Multi-object state estimation is a fundamental problem for robotic applications where a robot must interact with other moving objects. Typically, other objects' relevant state features are not directly observable, and must instead be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Angad Singh , Omar Makhlouf , Maximilian Igl , Joao Messias , Arnaud Doucet , Shimon Whiteson

This paper deals with the identification of piecewise affine state-space models. These models are obtained by partitioning the state or input domain into a finite number of regions and by considering affine submodels in each region. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Rafael Rui , Tohid Ardeshiri , Alexandre Bazanella

In recent years, a rich variety of regularization procedures have been proposed for high dimensional regression problems. However, tuning parameter choice and computational efficiency in ultra-high dimensional problems remain vexing issues.…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-18 Hua Zhou , Artin Armagan , David B. Dunson

Distributed parameter identification for large-scale multi-agent networks encounters challenges due to nonlinear dynamics and partial observations. Simultaneously, ensuring the stability is crucial for the robust identification of dynamic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Chunhui Li , Chengpu Yu

Gaussian process regression is a machine learning approach which has been shown its power for estimation of unknown functions. However, Gaussian processes suffer from high computational complexity, as in a basic form they scale cubically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Danil Kuzin , Le Yang , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a widely used iterative algorithm for computing maximum likelihood estimate when dealing with Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). When the sample size is smaller than the data dimension, this could lead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Pierre Houdouin , Matthieu Jonkcheere , Frederic Pascal

The efficient importance sampling (EIS) method is a general principle for the numerical evaluation of high-dimensional integrals that uses the sequential structure of target integrands to build variance minimising importance samplers.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-27 Marcel Scharth , Robert Kohn

The presence of missing values within high-dimensional data is an ubiquitous problem for many applied sciences. A serious limitation of many available data mining and machine learning methods is their inability to handle partially missing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Qi Ma , Sujit K. Ghosh