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The Laplace transform of partial sums of the square of a non-centered Gauss-Markov process, conditioning on its starting point, is explicitly computed. The parameters of multiplicative ergodicity are deduced.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Marina Kleptsyna , Alain Le Breton , Bernard Ycart

Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

Making use of a Rice-like series expansion, for a class of stationary Gaussian processes the asymptotic behavior of the first passage time probability density function through certain time-varying boundaries, including periodic boundaries,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Di Nardo , A. G. Nobile , E. Pirozzi , L. M. Ricciardi

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

We derive the limiting distributions of exceedances point processes of randomly scaled weakly dependent stationary Gaussian sequences under some mild asymptotic conditions. In the literature analogous results are available only for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Enkelejd Hashorva , Zuoxiang Peng , Zhichao Weng

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

For a class of Gaussian stationary processes, we prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly growing linear boundary. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Nikita Karagodin , Mikhail Lifshits

Approximations to sums of stationary and ergodic sequences by martingales are investigated. Necessary and sufficient conditions for such sums to be asymptotically normal conditionally given the past up to time 0 are obtained. It is first…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wei Biao Wu , Michael Woodroofe

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

We show the existance of the stationary distributions of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson processes without any conditions on the mean matrix of the offspring distributions. Some additional properties of the stationary distribution are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Gábor Szűcs

This paper states asymptotic equivalents for the three first moments of the Eescher transform of a distribution on R with smooth density in the upper tail. As a by product if provides a tail approximation for its moment generating function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-21 Maeva Biret , Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

We show that if $G$ is a countable amenable group, then every stationary non-Gaussian symmetric $\alpha$-stable (S$\alpha$S) process indexed by $G$ is ergodic if and only if it is weakly-mixing, and it is ergodic if and only if its Rosinski…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Nachi Avraham-Re'em

The assumption that a solution to the Einstein equations is static (or stationary) very strongly constrains the asymptotic behaviour of the metric. It is shown that one need only impose very weak differentiability and decay conditions {\it…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2010-04-06 Daniel Kennefick , Niall Ó Murchadha

We consider random switching between finitely many vector fields leaving positively invariant a compact set. Recently, Li, Liu and Cui showed that if one the vector fields has a globally asymptotically stable (G.A.S.) equilibrium from which…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Michel Benaïm , Tobias Hurth , Edouard Strickler

In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

Let $G=\{G(x),x\ge 0\}$ be a mean zero Gaussian process with stationary increments and set $\sigma^2(|x-y|)= E(G(x)-G(y))^2$. Let $f$ be a function with $Ef^{2}(\eta)<\ff$, where $\eta=N(0,1)$. When $\sigma^2$ is regularly varying at zero…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-15 Michael Marcus , Jay Rosen

This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

For spectrally positive L\'evy processes killed on exiting the half-line, existence of a quasi-stationary distribution is characterized by the exponential integrability of the exit time, the Laplace exponent and the non-negativity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-16 Kosuke Yamato

We prove asymptotic behaviour of transition density for a large class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy processes of unbounded variation satisfying mild condition imposed on the second derivative of the Laplace exponent, or equivalently, on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Łukasz Leżaj
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