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Markov decision processes are typically used for sequential decision making under uncertainty. For many aspects however, ranging from constrained or safe specifications to various kinds of temporal (non-Markovian) dependencies in task and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Nicky Lenaers , Martijn van Otterlo

Complex network theory provides a unifying framework for the study of structured dynamic systems. The current literature emphasizes a widely reported phenomenon of intermittent interaction among network vertices. In this paper, we introduce…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Ziyan Zeng , Minyu Feng , Pengfei Liu , Jurgen Kurths

We analyse the dynamics of the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG at a daily time horizon before and after its well defined local maxima of the cusp-like shape decorated with oscillations. The rising and falling paths of the index peaks can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Marzena Kozlowska , Ryszard Kutner

Here we consider the topological properties of the integrated networks emerging from the activity driven model [Perra at al. Sci. Rep. 2, 469 (2012)], a temporal network model recently proposed to explain the power-law degree distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Michele Starnini , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

Data-driven model discovery of complex dynamical systems is typically done using sparse optimization, but it has a fundamental limitation: sparsity in that the underlying governing equations of the system contain only a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Mohammadamin Moradi , Shirin Panahi , Erik M. Bollt , Ying-Cheng Lai

The emergence of heavy-tailed statistics in complex systems is conventionally attributed to non-local stochastic jumps or non-Markovian memory. Here, we present a one-dimensional random walk where power-law behaviors arise instead from a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-25 Henrique S. Lima , Evaldo M. F. Curado

Non-Markovian dynamics are commonly found in real-world environments due to long-range dependencies, partial observability, and memory effects. The Bellman equation that is the central pillar of Reinforcement learning (RL) becomes only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Zuyuan Zhang , Sizhe Tang , Tian Lan

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia

Complex systems made of interacting elements are commonly abstracted as networks, in which nodes are associated with dynamic state variables, whose evolution is driven by interactions mediated by the edges. Markov processes have been the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-30 Vsevolod Salnikov , Michael T. Schaub , Renaud Lambiotte

Temporal hypergraphs capture time-resolved group interactions among nodes. Empirical data support that time-stamped group interactions show bursty event sequences and non-trivial temporal correlations. In the present study, we introduce…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-10 Hang-Hyun Jo , Naoki Masuda

We propose a generative model and an inference scheme for epidemic processes on dynamic, adaptive contact networks. Network evolution is formulated as a link-Markovian process, which is then coupled to an individual-level stochastic SIR…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Jason Xu , Alexander Volfovsky

Waiting times between two consecutive infection and recovery events in spreading processes are often assumed to be exponentially distributed, which results in Markovian (i.e., memoryless) continuous spreading dynamics. However, this is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-27 Lucas Böttcher , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

We introduce nonlocal dynamics on directed networks through the construction of a fractional version of a nonsymmetric Laplacian for weighted directed graphs. Furthermore, we provide an analytic treatment of fractional dynamics for both…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Michele Benzi , Daniele Bertaccini , Fabio Durastante , Igor Simunec

Robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) allow to compute reliable solutions for dynamic decision problems whose evolution is modeled by rewards and partially-known transition probabilities. Unfortunately, accounting for uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Chin Pang Ho , Marek Petrik , Wolfram Wiesemann

Many dynamical processes on real world networks display complex temporal patterns as, for instance, a fat-tailed distribution of inter-events times, leading to heterogeneous waiting times between events. In this work, we focus on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-25 Sarah De Nigris , Anthony Hastir , Renaud Lambiotte

We propose generalizations of a number of standard network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, to the case of time-varying networks. We assume that the presence and absence of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Xiao Zhang , Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

In multi-state life insurance, an adequate balance between analytic tractability, computational efficiency, and statistical flexibility is of great importance. This might explain the popularity of Markov chain modelling, where matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt , Christian Furrer

Networks are landmarks of many complex phenomena where interweaving interactions between different agents transform simple local rule-sets into nonlinear emergent behaviors. While some recent studies unveil associations between the network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Ali Tavasoli , Teague Henry , Heman Shakeri

Real-world systems, ranging from social and biological to infrastructural, can be modeled by multilayer networks. Promoting spreading dynamics in multilayer networks may significantly facilitate electronic advertising and predicting popular…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-28 Liming Pan , Wei Wang , Shimin Cai , Tao Zhou

We consider a discrete-time Markovian random walk with resets on a connected undirected network. The resets, in which the walker is relocated to randomly chosen nodes, are governed by an independent discrete-time renewal process. Some nodes…