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We consider the biased random walk on a critical Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive, and confirm that this model with trapping belongs to the same universality class as certain one-dimensional trapping models with slowly-varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-20 David A. Croydon , Alexander Fribergh , Takashi Kumagai

The paper studies a class of critical Markov branching processes with infinite variance of the offspring distribution. The processes admit also an immigration component at the jump-points of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, assuming that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Kosto V. Mitov , Nikolay M. Yanev

Recent work on mutation-selection models has revealed that, under specific assumptions on the fitness function and the mutation rates, asymptotic estimates for the leading eigenvalue of the mutation-reproduction matrix may be obtained…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 E. Baake , M. Baake , A. Bovier , M. Klein

We introduce a certain class of 2-type Galton-Watson trees with edge lengths. We prove that, after an adequate rescaling, the weighted height function of a forest of such trees converges in law to the reflected Brownian motion. We then use…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-03 Loïc de Raphelis

Conditions for almost sure extinction are studied in discrete time branching processes with an infinite number of types. It is not assumed that the expected number of children is a bounded function of the parent's type. There might also be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. T. Tetzlaff

We consider the time evolution of the lattice subcritical Galton-Watson model with immigration. We prove Carleman type estimation for the cumulants in the simple case (binary splitting) and show the existence of a steady state. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Elena Chernousova , Yaqin Feng , Stanislav Molchanov , Joseph Whitmeyer

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

We give sufficient conditions on the offspring, the initial and the immigration distributions under which a second-order Galton-Watson process with immigration is regularly varying.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-03 Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

We provide a general methodology for unbiased estimation for intractable stochastic models. We consider situations where the target distribution can be written as an appropriate limit of distributions, and where conventional approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Sergios Agapiou , Gareth O. Roberts , Sebastian J. Vollmer

We provide sufficient conditions which ensure that the intrinsic martingale in the supercritical branching random walk converges exponentially fast to its limit. The case of Galton-Watson processes is particularly included so that our…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 A. Iksanov , M. Meiners

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

In this paper, a critical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration $Z_{n}$ is studied. We first obtain the convergence rate of the harmonic moment of $Z_{n}$. Then the large deviation of $S_{Z_n}:=\sum_{i=1}^{Z_n} X_i$ is obtained,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Doudou Li , Mei Zhang

We give an explicit formula for the most likely path to extinction for the Galton-Watson processes with large initial population. We establish this result with the help of the large deviation principle (LDP) which also recovers the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

We consider a class of stochastic growth models on the integer lattice which includes various interesting examples such as the number of open paths in oriented percolation and the binary contact path process. Under some mild assumptions, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Ryoki Fukushima , Nobuo Yoshida

We provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of discrete Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration to continuous time and continuous state branching processes with immigration.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zenghu Li

We are interested in the structure of multitype Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (BGW) trees conditioned on integer linear combinations of the numbers of vertices of given types. We show that, under regularity assumptions on the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Rémy Poudevigne , Paul Thévenin

Limit behaviour of temporal and contemporaneous aggregations of independent copies of a stationary multitype Galton-Watson branching process with immigration is studied in the so-called iterated and simultaneous cases, respectively. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

We prove a scaling limit theorem for two-type Galton-Waston branching processes with interaction. The limit theorem gives rise to a class of mixed state branching processes with interaction using to simulate the evolution for cell division…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Shukai Chen , Lina Ji , Jie Xiong

We show that certain Markov jump processes associated to crystal growth models are positive recurrent when the parameters satisfy a rather natural condition.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. D. Andjel , M. V. Menshikov , V. V. Sisko