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Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

We consider Bayesian inference in sequential latent variable models in general, and in nonlinear state space models in particular (i.e., state smoothing). We work with sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms, which provide a powerful…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-26 Fredrik Lindsten , Pete Bunch , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Thomas B. Schön

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

We introduce a novel method for online smoothing in state-space models that utilises a fixed-lag approximation to overcome the well known issue of path degeneracy. Unlike classical fixed-lag techniques that only approximate certain…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Samuel Duffield , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Nonstationary and nonlinear signals are ubiquitous in real life. Their decomposition and analysis is an important topic of research in signal processing. Recently a new technique, called Iterative Filtering, has been developed with the goal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Antonio Cicone , Pietro Dell'Acqua

An approximation to the solution of a stochastic parabolic equation is constructed using the Galerkin approximation followed by the Wiener Chaos decomposition. The result is applied to the nonlinear filtering problem for the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergey V. Lototsky

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state space hidden Markov models (HMMs) when the parameters of the model are unknown and replaced by estimators. We provide an explicit and time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-24 Yohann De Castro , Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff

Incorporating spatial information into hyperspectral unmixing procedures has been shown to have positive effects, due to the inherent spatial-spectral duality in hyperspectral scenes. Current research works that consider spatial information…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-01 Jie Chen , Cédric Richard , Alfred O. Hero

Accurate estimation of the states of a nonlinear dynamical system is crucial for their design, synthesis, and analysis. Particle filters are estimators constructed by simulating trajectories from a sampling distribution and averaging them…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-03 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Martin Sevilla , Richard Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

Parameter estimation of nonlinear state-space models from input-output data typically requires solving a highly non-convex optimization problem prone to slow convergence and suboptimal solutions. This work improves the reliability and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-27 Merijn Floren , Jan Swevers

An algorithm for non-stationary spatial modelling using multiple secondary variables is developed. It combines Geostatistics with Quantile Random Forests to give a new interpolation and stochastic simulation algorithm. This paper introduces…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-13 Colin Daly

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

Non-linear state space models are a widely-used class of models for biological, economic, and physical processes. Fitting these models to observed data is a difficult inference problem that has no straightforward solution. We take a…

Computation · Statistics 2013-05-03 Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Radford M. Neal

Spectral unmixing is a crucial processing step when analyzing hyperspectral data. In such analysis, most of the work in the literature relies on the widely acknowledged linear mixing model to describe the observed pixels. Unfortunately,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-04-21 Nicolas Dobigeon , Laurent Tits , Ben Somers , Yoann Altmann , Pol Coppin

This paper deals with the problem of designing a distributed fault detection and isolation algorithm for nonlinear large-scale systems that are subjected to multiple fault modes. To solve this problem, a network of communicating detection…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-27 Elaheh Noursadeghi , Ioannis Raptis

Monte Carlo methods are widely used in particle physics to integrate and sample probability distributions (differential cross sections or decay rates) on multi-dimensional phase spaces. We present a Neural Network (NN) algorithm optimized…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Matthew D. Klimek , Maxim Perelstein

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai