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Related papers: A semiparametric spatio-temporal model for solar i…

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We consider the problem of estimating the unobserved amount of photovoltaic (PV) generation and demand in a power distribution network starting from measurements of the aggregated power flow at the point of common coupling (PCC) and local…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Fabrizio Sossan , Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici , Mario Paolone

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

Solar photovoltaic systems are increasing in size and number on the grid. In regions with high penetration, such as California, PV systems serve multiple functions, including peak shaving and demand response. Therefore, the criticality of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Peng Sang , Santhosh Balasubramanian , Amritanshu Pandey

This paper presents a parametric model approach to address the problem of photovoltaic generation forecasting in a scenario where measurements of meteorological variables, i.e., solar irradiance and temperature, are not available at the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Daniele Pepe , Gianni Bianchini , Antonio Vicino

The total amount of solar irradiance falling on the earth's surface is an important area of study amongst the photo-voltaic (PV) engineers and remote sensing analysts. The received solar irradiance impacts the total amount of generated…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-23 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng

This paper compares different forecasting methods and models to predict average values of solar irradiance with a sampling time of 15 min over a prediction horizon of up to 3 h. The methods considered only require historic solar irradiance…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-30 Christian A. Hans , Elin Klages

We report a data-parsimonious machine learning model for short-term forecasting of solar irradiance. The model inputs include sky camera images that are reduced to scalar features to meet data transmission constraints. The output irradiance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Joshua Edward Hammond , Ricardo A. Lara Orozco , Michael Baldea , Brian A. Korgel

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program is a U.S. Department of Energy project that collects meteorological observations at several locations around the world in order to study how weather processes affect global climate change. As…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Joseph Guinness , Michael L. Stein

Solar irradiance is the primary input for all solar energy generation systems. The amount of available solar radiation over time under the local weather conditions helps to decide the optimal location, technology and size of a solar energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-17 T. A. Fathima , Vasudevan Nedumpozhimana , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler , Soumyabrata Dev

This work deals with the problem of estimating a photovoltaic generation forecasting model in scenarios where measurements of meteorological variables (i.e. solar irradiance and temperature) at the plant site are not available. A novel…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Gianni Bianchini , Daniele Pepe , Antonio Vicino

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

The residential electrical energy scheduling of solar Photovoltaics (PV) is an important research area of the modern green buildings. On the demand side, factors such as building load, and the renewable PV energy resources are integrated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Sara Zainaa , Shima Sadaf , Ansaruddin Kunjuc , Mohammad Meraj , Devrim Unal , Farid Touati

Accurate and reliable prediction of Photovoltaic (PV) power output is critical to electricity grid stability and power dispatching capabilities. However, Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is highly volatile and unstable due to different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Sarah Almaghrabi , Mashud Rana , Margaret Hamilton , Mohammad Saiedur Rahaman

This letter proposes a distributed and adaptive demand response approach for primary frequency regulation in high-PV power systems. Using solar irradiance measurement at substations, the proposed approach allows accurate estimation of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-01 Shutang You

Solar energy is one of important renewable energy sources and simulation of solar irradiance can be used as input for simulation of photovoltaic (PV) generation. This paper proposes a simulation algorithm of multi-station solar irradiance…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-18 Xingbo Fu , Feng Gao , Jiang Wu , Ruanming Huang , Yichao Huang , Fei Fei

The increasing importance of solar power for electricity generation leads to an increasing demand for probabilistic forecasting of local and aggregated PV yields. In this paper we use an indirect modeling approach for hourly medium to long…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-24 Alfred Müller , Matthias Reuber

As photovoltaic power is expanding rapidly worldwide, it is imperative to assess its promise under future climate scenarios. While a great deal of research has been devoted to trends of mean solar radiation, less attention has been paid to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-13 Jun Yin , Annalisa Molini , Amilcare Porporato

We present a comprehensive global temporal dataset of commercial solar photovoltaic (PV) farms and onshore wind turbines, derived from high-resolution satellite imagery analyzed quarterly from the fourth quarter of 2017 to the second…

Total and spectral solar irradiance are key parameters in the assessment of solar influence on changes in the Earth's climate. We present a reconstruction of daily solar irradiance obtained using the SATIRE-S model spanning 1974 to 2013…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-07 K. L. Yeo , N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki , K. H. Glassmeier