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In this paper, we analyze Twitter signals as a medium for user sentiment to predict the price fluctuations of a small-cap alternative cryptocurrency called \emph{ZClassic}. We extracted tweets on an hourly basis for a period of 3.5 weeks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-04 Tianyu Ray Li , Anup S. Chamrajnagar , Xander R. Fong , Nicholas R. Rizik , Feng Fu

A comprehensive understanding of data quality is the cornerstone of measurement studies in social media research. This paper presents in-depth measurements on the effects of Twitter data sampling across different timescales and different…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Siqi Wu , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Social media platforms facilitate mankind a data-driven world by enabling billions of people to share their thoughts and activities ubiquitously. This huge collection of data, if analysed properly, can provide useful insights into people's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Thirunavukarasu Balasubramaniam , Richi Nayak , Md Abul Bashar

Our paper studies the predictability of online speech -- that is, how well language models learn to model the distribution of user generated content on X (previously Twitter). We define predictability as a measure of the model's…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Mina Remeli , Moritz Hardt , Robert C. Williamson

Predictive analysis of social media data has attracted considerable attention from the research community as well as the business world because of the essential and actionable information it can provide. Over the years, extensive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Ugur Kursuncu , Manas Gaur , Usha Lokala , Krishnaprasad Thirunarayan , Amit Sheth , I. Budak Arpinar

Deterministic dynamics is a mathematical model used to describe the temporal evolution of a system, generally expressed as dx/dt = F(x), where x represents the system's state, and F(x) determines its dynamics. It is employed to understand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-04 Yasuko Kawahata

The emergence and wide-spread use of online social networks has led to a dramatic increase on the availability of social activity data. Importantly, this data can be exploited to investigate, at a microscopic level, some of the problems…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Isabel Valera , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

We live in a computerized and networked society where many of our actions leave a digital trace and affect other people's actions. This has lead to the emergence of a new data-driven research field: mathematical methods of computer science,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Ilaria Bordino , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Matthieu Cristelli , Antti Ukkonen , Ingmar Weber

Twitter is used for a variety of reasons, including information dissemination, marketing, political organizing and to spread propaganda, spamming, promotion, conversations, and so on. Characterizing these activities and categorizing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-06-03 Rumi Ghosh , Tawan Surachawala , Kristina Lerman

While it has long been believed in psychology that weather somehow influences human's mood, the debates have been going on for decades about how they are correlated. In this paper, we try to study this long-lasting topic by harnessing a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-11-03 Jiwei Li , Xun Wang , Eduard Hovy

Automatically verifying rumorous information has become an important and challenging task in natural language processing and social media analytics. Previous studies reveal that people's stances towards rumorous messages can provide…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Penghui Wei , Nan Xu , Wenji Mao

Echo chambers are defined by the simultaneous presence of opinion polarization with respect to a controversial topic and homophily, i.e. the preference of individuals to interact with like-minded peers. While recent efforts have been…

Opinion prediction on Twitter is challenging due to the transient nature of tweet content and neighbourhood context. In this paper, we model users' tweet posting behaviour as a temporal point process to jointly predict the posting time and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Lixing Zhu , Yulan He , Deyu Zhou

In animal groups, individual decisions are best characterised by probabilistic rules. Furthermore, animals of many species live in small groups. Probabilistic interactions among small numbers of individuals lead to a so called intrinsic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Jitesh Jhawar , Vishwesha Guttal

A very large number of people use Online Social Networks daily. Such platforms thus become attractive targets for agents that seek to gain access to the attention of large audiences, and influence perceptions or opinions. Botnets,…

Cryptocurrencies have emerged as a novel financial asset garnering significant attention in recent years. A defining characteristic of these digital currencies is their pronounced short-term market volatility, primarily influenced by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-02 Vahidin Jeleskovic , Stephen Mackay

Many social media researchers and data scientists collected geo-tagged tweets to conduct spatial analysis or identify spatiotemporal patterns of filtered messages for specific topics or events. This paper provides a systematic view to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-08 Ming-Hsiang Tsou , Hao Zhang , Chin-Te Jung

The ever-growing number of people using Twitter makes it a valuable source of timely information. However, detecting events in Twitter is a difficult task, because tweets that report interesting events are overwhelmed by a large volume of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-22 Adrien Guille , Cecile Favre

Social media has become a very popular source of information. With this popularity comes an interest in systems that can classify the information produced. This study tries to create such a system detecting irony in Twitter users. Recent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Tibor L. R. Krols , Marie Mortensen , Ninell Oldenburg

Analyzing social media trends can create a win-win situation for both creators and consumers. Creators can receive fair compensation, while consumers gain access to engaging, relevant, and personalized content. This paper proposes a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Abhishek Saxena , Anton Kolonin