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We consider a class of filtering problems for large populations where each individual is modeled by the same hidden Markov model (HMM). In this paper, we focus on aggregate inference problems in HMMs with discrete state space and continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Qinsheng Zhang , Rahul Singh , Yongxin Chen

In this paper, we present a method for recognising an agent's behaviour in dynamic, noisy, uncertain domains, and across multiple levels of abstraction. We term this problem on-line plan recognition under uncertainty and view it generally…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-06 H. H. Bui , S. Venkatesh , G. West

The main focus of this work is on developing models for the activity profile of a terrorist group, detecting sudden spurts and downfalls in this profile, and, in general, tracking it over a period of time. Toward this goal, a $d$-state…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-16 Vasanthan Raghavan , Aram Galstyan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

With the growing amount of cyber threats, the need for development of high-assurance cyber systems is becoming increasingly important. The objective of this paper is to address the challenges of modeling and detecting sophisticated network…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Tawfeeq Shawly , Ali Elghariani , Jason Kobes , Arif Ghafoor

In this paper, we explore the effectiveness of dynamic analysis techniques for identifying malware, using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and Profile Hidden Markov Models (PHMMs), both trained on sequences of API calls. We contrast our results…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Swapna Vemparala , Fabio Di Troia , Corrado A. Visaggio , Thomas H. Austin , Mark Stamp

In this paper, second-order hidden Markov model (HMM2) has been used and implemented to improve the recognition performance of text-dependent speaker identification systems under neutral talking condition. Our results show that HMM2…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Ismail Shahin

We present a polyphonic MIDI score-following algorithm capable of following performances with arbitrary repeats and skips, based on a probabilistic model of musical performances. It is attractive in practical applications of score following…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-08 Eita Nakamura , Tomohiko Nakamura , Yasuyuki Saito , Nobutaka Ono , Shigeki Sagayama

This work focuses on enhancing the performance of text-dependent and speaker-dependent talking condition identification systems using second-order hidden Markov models (HMM2s). Our results show that the talking condition identification…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-07-05 Ismail Shahin

Characterization of multivariate time series of behaviour data from animal-borne sensors is challenging. Biologists require methods to objectively quantify baseline behaviour, then assess behaviour changes in response to environmental…

This paper presents a mathematical framework for causal nonlinear prediction in settings where observations are generated from an underlying hidden Markov model (HMM). Both the problem formulation and the proposed solution are motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

Parameter-efficient tuning aims to distill knowledge for downstream tasks by optimizing a few introduced parameters while freezing the pretrained language models (PLMs). Continuous prompt tuning which prepends a few trainable vectors to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Haoran Yang , Piji Li , Wai Lam

To analyze whole-genome genetic data inherited in families, the likelihood is typically obtained from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) having a state space of 2^n hidden states where n is the number of meioses or edges in the pedigree. There…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Bonnie Kirkpatrick , Kay Kirkpatrick

Recent studies have proposed that one can summarize brain activity into dynamics among a relatively small number of hidden states and that such an approach is a promising tool for revealing brain function. Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Takahiro Ezaki , Yu Himeno , Takamitsu Watanabe , Naoki Masuda

Data collected from wearable devices and smartphones can shed light on an individual's pattern of behavioral and circadian routine. Phone use can be modeled as alternating event process, between the state of active use and the state of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Benny Ren , Ian Barnett

For Finite State Machines (FSMs) a rich testing theory has been developed to discover aspects of their behavior and ensure their correct functioning. Although this theory is widely used, e.g., to check conformance of protocol…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Petra van den Bos , Frits Vaandrager

To make sense of the world around us, we develop models, constructed to enable us to replicate, describe, and explain the behaviours we see. Focusing on the broad case of sequences of correlated random variables, i.e., classical stochastic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-04 Paul M. Riechers , Thomas J. Elliott

Many state of the art methods for the thermodynamic and kinetic characterization of large and complex biomolecular systems by simulation rely on ensemble approaches, where data from large numbers of relatively short trajectories are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-05 Feliks Nüske , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Christoph Wehmeyer , Cecilia Clementi , Frank Noé

Model stealing, where a learner tries to recover an unknown model via carefully chosen queries, is a critical problem in machine learning, as it threatens the security of proprietary models and the privacy of data they are trained on. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra

Many sequence computations are easier to study as movement through internal states than as isolated local circuits. We introduce Markovian Circuit Tracing (MCT), a diagnostic pipeline for testing whether transformer activations contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Abdullah X

Practitioners use Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) in different problems for about sixty years. Besides, Conditional Random Fields (CRFs) are an alternative to HMMs and appear in the literature as different and somewhat concurrent models. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Elie Azeraf , Emmanuel Monfrini , Wojciech Pieczynski
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