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The analysis of observed time series from nonlinear systems is usually done by making a time-delay reconstruction to unfold the dynamics on a multi-dimensional state space. An important aspect of the analysis is the choice of the correct…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-05 K. P. Harikrishnan , Rinku Jacob , R. Misra , G. Ambika

We propose a shrinkage procedure for simultaneous variable selection and estimation in generalized linear models (GLMs) with an explicit predictive motivation. The procedure estimates the coefficients by minimizing the Kullback-Leibler…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-14 Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Nott , Chenlei Leng

Testing whether two multivariate samples exhibit the same extremal behavior is an important problem in various fields including environmental and climate sciences. While several ad-hoc approaches exist in the literature, they often lack…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Sebastian Engelke , Philippe Naveau , Chen Zhou

Recent advances in deep learning have brought to the fore models that can make multiple computational steps in the service of completing a task; these are capable of describ- ing long-term dependencies in sequential data. Novel recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Kyriakos Tolias , Sotirios Chatzis

This letter is focused on the design and analysis of computational wideband time-reversal imaging algorithms, designed to be adaptive with respect to the noise levels pertaining to the frequencies being employed for scene probing. These…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-28 D. Ciuonzo

Gaussian graphical regressions have emerged as a powerful approach for regressing the precision matrix of a Gaussian graphical model on covariates, which, unlike traditional Gaussian graphical models, can help determine how graphs are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-17 Xuran Meng , Jingfei Zhang , Yi Li

In this paper, we consider the phase recovery problem, where a complex signal vector has to be estimated from the knowledge of the modulus of its linear projections, from a naive variational Bayesian point of view. In particular, we derive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Angélique Drémeau , Florent Krzakala

Functional data describe a wide range of processes, such as growth curves and spectral absorption. In this study, we analyze air pollution data from the In-service Aircraft for a Global Observing System, focusing on the spatial interactions…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Rita Fici , Gianluca Sottile , Luigi Augugliaro , Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit

We show how to use Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) to carry out inference in Gaussian process (GP) models with non-Gaussian likelihoods and large data volumes. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is extremely computationally intensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-20 Thomas Pinder , Christopher Nemeth , David Leslie

The dual tasks of quantum Hamiltonian learning and quantum Gibbs sampling are relevant to many important problems in physics and chemistry. In the low temperature regime, algorithms for these tasks often suffer from intractabilities, for…

In a first part, we present a mathematical analysis of a general methodology of a probabilistic learning inference that allows for estimating a posterior probability model for a stochastic boundary value problem from a prior probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Christian Soize

We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We study Gaussian approximations to the distribution of a diffusion. The approximations are easy to compute: they are defined by two simple ordinary differential equations for the mean and the covariance. Time correlations can also be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Andrew M. Stuart

Gaussian graphical model selection is usually studied under independent sampling, but in many applications observations arise from dependent dynamics. We study structure learning when the data consist of a single trajectory of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Vignesh Tirukkonda , Anirudh Rayas , Gautam Dasarathy

This paper is focused on the statistical analysis of data consisting of a collection of multiple series of probability measures that are indexed by distinct time instants and supported over a bounded interval of the real line. By modeling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot

Gaussian graphical model is one of the powerful tools to analyze conditional independence between two variables for multivariate Gaussian-distributed observations. When the dimension of data is moderate or high, penalized likelihood methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-24 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties commonly exhibited by financial time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Kshama Dwarakanath , Danial Dervovic , Peyman Tavallali , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

We show that the class of strongly connected graphical models with treewidth at most k can be properly efficiently PAC-learnt with respect to the Kullback-Leibler Divergence. Previous approaches to this problem, such as those of Chow ([1]),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Mukund Narasimhan , Jeff A. Bilmes

Information-theoretic measures such as the entropy, cross-entropy and the Kullback-Leibler divergence between two mixture models is a core primitive in many signal processing tasks. Since the Kullback-Leibler divergence of mixtures provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Frank Nielsen , Ke Sun