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Precise radial velocity measurements have led to the discovery of ~100 extrasolar planetary systems. We investigate the uncertainty in the orbital solutions that have been fit to these observations. Understanding these uncertainties will…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-05 Eric B. Ford

Imaging companions to main-sequence stars often allows to detect a projected orbital motion. MCMC has become very popular in for fitting their orbits. Some of these companions appear to move on very eccentric, possibly unbound orbits. This…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-09 Hervé Beust , Mickael Bonnefoy , Anne-Lise Maire , David Ehrenreich , Anne-Marie Lagrange , Gael Chauvin

The eccentricity of a sub-stellar companion is an important tracer of its formation history. Directly imaged companions often present poorly constrained eccentricities. A recently developed prior framework for orbit fitting called…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-20 Clarissa R. Do Ó , Kelly K. O'Neil , Quinn M. Konopacky , Tuan Do , Gregory D. Martinez , Jean-Baptiste Ruffio , Andrea M. Ghez

Nearby stars offer prime opportunities for exoplanet discovery and characterization through various detection methods. By combining HCI, RV, and astrometry, it is possible to better constrain the presence of substellar companions, as each…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-04 L. F. Sartori , M. J. Bonse , Y. Li , F. A. Dannert , S. P. Quanz , A. Boehle

We present the first statistical analysis of exoplanet direct imaging surveys combining adaptive optics imaging at small separations with deep seeing-limited observations at large separations allowing us to study the entire orbital…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-11-06 Frédérique Baron , David Lafrenière , Étienne Artigau , Jonathan Gagné , Julien Rameau , Philippe Delorme , Marie-Eve Naud

We present a Bayesian inference methodology for the estimation of orbital parameters on single-line spectroscopic binaries with astrometric data, based on the No-U-Turn sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Our approach is designed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-27 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

In this work, we propose a new flow-matching Markov chain Monte Carlo (FM-MCMC) algorithm for estimating the orbital parameters of exoplanetary systems, especially for those only one exoplanet is involved. Compared to traditional methods…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-10 Bo Liang , Hanlin Song , Chang Liu , Tianyu Zhao , Yuxiang Xu , Zihao Xiao , Manjia Liang , Minghui Du , Wei-Liang Qian , Li-e Qiang , Peng Xu , Ziren Luo

This paper introduces a novel Monte Carlo (MC) method to simulate the evolution of the low-earth orbit environment, enhancing the MIT Orbital Capacity Analysis Tool (MOCAT). In recent decades, numerous space environment models have been…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-15 Daniel Jang , Davide Gusmini , Peng Mun Siew , Andrea D'Ambrosio , Simone Servadio , Pablo Machuca , Richard Linares

We place the first constraints on the obliquity of a planetary-mass companion (PMC) outside of the Solar System. Our target is the directly imaged system 2MASS J01225093-2439505 (2M0122), which consists of a 120 Myr 0.4 M_sun star hosting a…

Given sparse or low-quality radial-velocity measurements of a star, there are often many qualitatively different stellar or exoplanet companion orbit models that are consistent with the data. The consequent multimodality of the likelihood…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-30 Adrian M. Price-Whelan , David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Hans-Walter Rix

We have conducted an angular differential imaging survey with NIRC2 at Keck in search of close-in substellar companions to a sample of seven systems with confirmed planetary-mass companions (PMCs) on wide orbits (>50 AU). These…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-17 Marta L. Bryan , Brendan P. Bowler , Heather A. Knutson , Adam L. Kraus , Sasha Hinkley , Dimitri Mawet , Eric L. Nielsen , Sarah C. Blunt

Radial velocity (RV) planet searches are increasingly finding planets with small velocity amplitudes, with long orbital periods, or in multiple planet systems. Bayesian inference has the potential to improve the interpretation of existing…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eric B. Ford , Philip C. Gregory

We present orbital elements and mass sums for eighteen visual binary stars of spectral types B to K (five of which are new orbits) with periods ranging from 20 to more than 500 yr. For two double-line spectroscopic binaries with no previous…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-25 Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Marcos E. Orchard , Jorge F. Silva

In this paper, we propose an efficient pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling approach to draw samples from posterior shape distributions for image segmentation. The computation time of the proposed approach is independent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Ertunc Erdil , Sinan Yildirim , Tolga Tasdizen , Mujdat Cetin

Under certain rather prevalent conditions (driven by dynamical orbital evolution), a hierarchical triple stellar system can be well approximated, from the standpoint of orbital parameter estimation, as two binary star systems combined. Even…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-14 Constanza Villegas , Rene A. Mendez , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

The orbital motion of a neutron star about its optical companion presents a window through which to study the orbital parameters of that binary system. This has been used extensively in the Milky Way to calculate these parameters for…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-05-28 L. J. Townsend , M. J. Coe , R. H. D. Corbet , A. B. Hill

Continuing work initiated in an earlier publication [Sato and Asada, PASJ, 61, L29 (2009)], we consider light curves influenced by the orbital inclination and eccentricity of a companion in orbit around a transiting extrasolar planet (in a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Masanao Sato , Hideki Asada

A large number of direct imaging surveys for exoplanets have been performed in recent years, yielding the first directly imaged planets and providing constraints on the prevalence and distribution of wide planetary systems. However, like…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-07 Mariangela Bonavita , Silvano Desidera , Christian Thalmann , Markus Janson , Arthur Vigan , Gael Chauvin , Justine Lannier

Precise radial velocity measurements have led to the discovery of ~170 extrasolar planetary systems. Understanding the uncertainties in the orbital solutions will become increasingly important as the discovery space for extrasolar planets…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Eric B. Ford

The detection of exoplanets through direct imaging has produced numerous new positive identifications in recent years. The technique is biased towards planets at wide separations due to the difficulty in removing the stellar signature at…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Stephen R. Kane
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