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We analyze a fixed-point algorithm for reinforcement learning (RL) of optimal portfolio mean-variance preferences in the setting of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional-heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) with a small penalty on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-17 Andrew Papanicolaou , Hao Fu , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

In this study, we address the challenge of portfolio optimization, a critical aspect of managing investment risks and maximizing returns. The mean-CVaR portfolio is considered a promising method due to today's unstable financial market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-22 Kei Nakagawa , Masaya Abe , Seiichi Kuroki

The accelerated failure time (AFT) models have proved useful in many contexts, though heavy censoring (as for example in cancer survival) and high dimensionality (as for example in microarray data) cause difficulties for model fitting and…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-10 Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan , J. Ewart H. Shaw

This paper considers stochastic-constrained stochastic optimization where the stochastic constraint is to satisfy that the expectation of a random function is below a certain threshold. In particular, we study the setting where data samples…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Yeongjong Kim , Dabeen Lee

We study the out-of-sample properties of robust empirical optimization problems with smooth $\phi$-divergence penalties and smooth concave objective functions, and develop a theory for data-driven calibration of the non-negative "robustness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jun-Ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim

Markowitz's criterion aims to balance expected return and risk when optimizing the portfolio. The expected return level is usually fixed according to the risk appetite of an investor, then the risk is minimized at this fixed return level.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-08 Yizun Lin , Yongxin He , Zhao-Rong Lai

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

This paper explores the mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a multi-period financial market characterized by regime-switching dynamics and uncontrollable liabilities. To address the uncertainty in the decision-making process within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Zhongqin Gao , Ping Chen , Xun Li , Yan Lv , Wenhao Zhang

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

Variable selection in cluster analysis is important yet challenging. It can be achieved by regularization methods, which realize a trade-off between the clustering accuracy and the number of selected variables by using a lasso-type penalty.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-23 Marbac Matthieu , Sedki Mohammed

The Huber's criterion is a useful method for robust regression. The adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) is a popular technique for simultaneous estimation and variable selection. In the case of small sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-31 Laurent Zwald , Sophie Lambert-Lacroix

In this paper, for Lasso penalized linear regression models in high-dimensional settings, we propose a modified cross-validation method for selecting the penalty parameter. The methodology is extended to other penalties, such as Elastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-10 Yi Yu , Yang Feng

Since Markowitz's mean-variance framework, optimizing a portfolio that maximizes the profit and minimizes the risk has been ubiquitous in the financial industry. Initially, profit and risk were measured by the first two moments of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Xiwen Wang , Rui Zhou , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar

Penalized generalized estimating equations with Elastic Net or L2-Smoothly Clipped Absolute Deviation penalization are proposed to simultaneously select the most important variables and estimate their effects for longitudinal Gaussian data…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Adriaan Blommaert , Niel Hens , Philippe Beutels

We propose a method for estimating coefficients in multivariate regression when there is a clustering structure to the response variables. The proposed method includes a fusion penalty, to shrink the difference in fitted values from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-28 Bradley S. Price , Ben Sherwood

We consider a setting where an agent's uncertainty is represented by a set of probability measures, rather than a single measure. Measure-by-measure updating of such a set of measures upon acquiring new information is well-known to suffer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Joseph Y. Halpern , Samantha Leung

We provide in this paper a fully adaptive penalized procedure to select a covariance among a collection of models observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points. For this we generalize previous results of Bigot and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Rolando Biscay , Hélène Lescornel , Jean-Michel Loubes

In this paper, we propose a market model with returns assumed to follow a multivariate normal tempered stable distribution defined by a mixture of the multivariate normal distribution and the tempered stable subordinator. This distribution…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Young Shin Kim

This paper proposes a new method for financial portfolio optimization based on reducing simultaneous asset shocks across a collection of assets. This may be understood as an alternative approach to risk reduction in a portfolio based on a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

We consider the problem of estimating the inverse covariance matrix by maximizing the likelihood function with a penalty added to encourage the sparsity of the resulting matrix. We propose a new approach based on the split Bregman method to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-17 Gui-Bo Ye , Jian-Feng Cai , Xiaohui Xie