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The standard Large Deviation Theory (LDT) is mathematically illustrated by the Boltzmann-Gibbs factor which describes the thermal equilibrium of short-range-interacting many-body Hamiltonian systems, the velocity distribution of which is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-24 Ugur Tirnakli , Constantino Tsallis , Nihat Ay

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a long memory linear process in which the coefficients are regularly varying and innovations are independent and identically distributed and belong to the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Hui Liu , Yudan Xiong , Fangjun Xu

We study the probability distribution $P$ of the sum of a large number of non-identically distributed random variables $n_m$. Condensation of fluctuations, the phenomenon whereby one of such variables provides a macroscopic contribution to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-29 Federico Corberi

In the paper, upper bounds for the rate of convergence in laws of large numbers for mixed Poisson random sums are constructed. As a measure of the distance between the limit and pre-limit laws, the Zolotarev $\zeta$-metric is used. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with immigration in varying environment. For $a\in\{0,1,2,...\},$ let $C=\{n\ge0:Z_n=a\}$ be the collection of times at which the population size of the process attains level $a.$ We give a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Hua-Ming Wang

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

We study the full distribution $P_{N}\left(A\right)$ of sums $A = \sum_{i=1}^N$ where $x_1, \dots, x_N$ are $N \gg 1$ independent and identically distributed random variables each sampled from a given distribution $p(x)$ with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-09 Naftali R. Smith

In this short note we prove a maximal concentration lemma for sub-Gaussian random variables stating that for independent sub-Gaussian random variables we have \[P<(\max_{1\le i\le N}S_{i}>\epsilon>)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-07-26 Dotan Di Castro , Claudio Gentile , Shie Mannor

Let $(Z_{n})$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi $, and $W$ be the limit of the normalized population size $Z_{n}/\mathbb{E}[Z_{n}|\xi ]$. We show large and moderate deviation principles for the sequence $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Chunmao Huang , Quansheng Liu

We consider a special class of Galton-Watson theta-processes in a varying environment fully defined by four parameters, with two of them $(\theta,r)$ being fixed over time $n$, and the other two $(a_n,c_n)$ characterizing the altering…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Serik Sagitov , Yerakhmet Zhumayev

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

We consider a particle system in continuous time, discrete population, with spatial motion and nonlocal branching. The offspring's weights and their number may depend on the mother's weight. Our setting captures, for instance, the processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bertrand Cloez

We study an extension of the so-called defective Galton-Watson processes obtained by allowing the offspring distribution to change over the generations. Thus, in these processes, the individuals reproduce independently of the others and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Götz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process $(\mathcal Z_t^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$. Nerman's celebrated law of large numbers [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57, 365--395, 1981] states that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

We study invariance principles and convergence to a Gaussian limit for stochastic series of the form $S(c,Z)=\sum_{m=1}^{\infty }\sum_{\alpha _{1}<...<\alpha _{m}}c(\alpha _{1},...,\alpha _{m})\prod_{i=1}^{m}Z_{\alpha _{i}}$ where $Z_{k}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino

Let (X_n,Y_n) be i.i.d. random vectors. Let W(x) be the partial sum of Y_n just before that of X_n exceeds x>0. Motivated by stochastic models for neural activity, uniform convergence of the form $\sup_{c\in I}|a(c,x)\operatorname…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Zhiyi Chi

A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

We study two one-parameter families of point processes connected to random matrices: the Sine_beta and Sch_tau processes. The first one is the bulk point process limit for the Gaussian beta-ensemble. For beta=1, 2 and 4 it gives the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Diane Holcomb , Benedek Valkó
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