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A standard practice in statistical hypothesis testing is to mention the p-value alongside the accept/reject decision. We show the advantages of mentioning an e-value instead. With p-values, it is not clear how to use an extreme observation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Peter Grünwald

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

For many applications, it is critical to interpret and validate groups of observations obtained via clustering. A common validation approach involves testing differences in feature means between observations in two estimated clusters. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-29 Yiqun T. Chen , Lucy L. Gao

This is an up-to-date introduction to, and overview of, marginal likelihood computation for model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability models (or ratio of constants) is a fundamental issue in many…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-13 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino , David Delgado , Javier Lopez-Santiago

We study the problem of estimating the distribution of effect sizes (the mean of the test statistic under the alternate hypothesis) in a multiple testing setting. Knowing this distribution allows us to calculate the power (type II error) of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Jennifer Brennan , Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Kevin Jamieson

Although hypothesis tests play a prominent role in Science, their interpretation can be challenging. Three issues are (i) the difficulty in making an assertive decision based on the output of an hypothesis test, (ii) the logical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Victor Coscrato , Luís Gustavo Esteves , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael Bassi Stern

Most scientific disciplines use significance testing to draw conclusions about experimental or observational data. This classical approach provides a theoretical guarantee for controlling the number of false positives across a set of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-06 Stanley E. Lazic

We consider the problem of sequential multiple hypothesis testing with nontrivial data collection costs. This problem appears, for example, when conducting biological experiments to identify differentially expressed genes of a disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Thomas Cook , Harsh Vardhan Dubey , Ji Ah Lee , Guangyu Zhu , Tingting Zhao , Patrick Flaherty

One of the core applications of machine learning to knowledge discovery consists on building a function (a hypothesis) from a given amount of data (for instance a decision tree or a neural network) such that we can use it afterwards to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Carlos Domingo , Ricard Gavalda , Osamu Watanabe

We connect the power of Confidence Intervals in different Frequentist methods to their reliability. We show that in the case of a bounded parameter a biased method which near the boundary has large power in testing the parameter against…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

We study a hypothesis testing problem in which data is compressed distributively and sent to a detector that seeks to decide between two possible distributions for the data. The aim is to characterize all achievable encoding rates and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-02-01 Md. Saifur Rahman , Aaron B. Wagner

Two main concepts studied in machine learning theory are generalization gap (difference between train and test error) and excess risk (difference between test error and the minimum possible error). While information-theoretic tools have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hassan Hafez-Kolahi , Behrad Moniri , Shohreh Kasaei

We study the binary hypothesis testing problem where an adversary may potentially corrupt a fraction of the samples. The detector is, however, permitted to abstain from making a decision if (and only if) the adversary is present. We…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Malhar A. Managoli , K. R. Sahasranand , Vinod M. Prabhakaran

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

Standard inference about a scalar parameter estimated via GMM amounts to applying a t-test to a particular set of observations. If the number of observations is not very large, then moderately heavy tails can lead to poor behavior of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-15 Ulrich K. Mueller

In this work, we revisit the one- and two-sample testing problems: binary hypothesis testing in which one or both distributions are unknown. For the one-sample test, we provide a more streamlined proof of the asymptotic optimality of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Arick Grootveld , Biao Chen , Venkata Gandikota

The problem of multiple hypothesis testing arises when there are more than one hypothesis to be tested simultaneously for statistical significance. This is a very common situation in many data mining applications. For instance, assessing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-06-30 Sami Hanhijärvi , Kai Puolamäki , Gemma C. Garriga

To design Bayesian studies, criteria for the operating characteristics of posterior analyses - such as power and the type I error rate - are often assessed by estimating sampling distributions of posterior probabilities via simulation. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Cluster analysis is a fundamental research issue in statistics and machine learning. In many modern clustering methods, we need to determine whether two subsets of samples come from the same cluster. Since these subsets are usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xinying Liu , Lianyu Hu , Mudi Jiang , Simeng Zhang , Jun Lou , Zengyou He

While there exists a large amount of literature on the general challenges of and best practices for trustworthy online A/B testing, there are limited studies on sample size estimation, which plays a crucial role in trustworthy and efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Jing Zhou , Jiannan Lu , Anas Shallah
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