Related papers: Existence and Uniqueness of Proper Scoring Rules
We revisit the mathematical foundations of proper scoring rules (PSRs) and Bregman divergences and present their characteristic properties in a unified theoretical framework. In many situations it is preferable not to generate a PSR…
Many forecasts consist not of point predictions but concern the evolution of quantities. For example, a central bank might predict the interest rates during the next quarter, an epidemiologist might predict trajectories of infection rates,…
Entropies must correspond to mean values for them to be measurable. The Shannon entropy corresponds to the weighted arithmetic mean, whereas the Renyi entropy corresponds to the exponential mean. These means refer to code lengths, which are…
Predictive inference requires balancing statistical accuracy against informational complexity, yet the choice of complexity measure is usually imposed rather than derived. We treat econometric objects as predictive rules, mappings from…
Shannon's entropy and other entropy-based concepts are derived from the new, more general concept of relative divergence of one "grading' function on a linearly ordered set from another such function. The definition of relative divergence…
In this paper, we show that the characterisation of all determinant inequalities for $n \times n$ positive definite matrices is equivalent to determining the smallest closed and convex cone containing all entropy functions induced by $n$…
We consider the entropy of sums of independent discrete random variables, in analogy with Shannon's Entropy Power Inequality, where equality holds for normals. In our case, infinite divisibility suggests that equality should hold for…
The entropy region is a fundamental object in information theory. An outer bound for the entropy region is defined by a minimal set of Shannon-type inequalities called elemental inequalities also referred to as the Shannon region. This…
In this work, we provide some novel results that establish both the existence of Henig global proper efficient points and their density in the efficient set for vector optimization problems in arbitrary normed spaces. Our results do not…
We study an entropy measure for quantum systems that generalizes the von Neumann entropy as well as its classical counterpart, the Gibbs or Shannon entropy. The entropy measure is based on hypothesis testing and has an elegant formulation…
Building on the recent work of Johnson (2007) and Yu (2008), we prove that entropy is a concave function with respect to the thinning operation T_a. That is, if X and Y are independent random variables on Z_+ with ultra-log-concave…
Shannon entropy for discrete distributions is a fundamental and widely used concept, but its continuous analogue, known as differential entropy, lacks essential properties such as positivity and compatibility with the discrete case. In this…
The problem of Shannon entropy estimation in countable infinite alphabets is addressed from the study and use of convergence results of the entropy functional, which is known to be discontinuous with respect to the total variation distance…
Scoring rules measure the deviation between a probabilistic forecast and reality. Strictly proper scoring rules have the property that for any forecast, the mathematical expectation of the score of a forecast p by the lights of p is…
Shannon entropy is widely used to quantify the uncertainty of discrete random variables. But when normalized to the unit interval, as is often done in practice, it no longer conveys the alphabet sizes of the random variables being studied.…
We study a quantity called discrete layered entropy, which approximates the Shannon entropy within a logarithmic gap. Compared to the Shannon entropy, the discrete layered entropy is piecewise linear, approximates the expected length of the…
We investigate proper scoring rules for continuous distributions on the real line. It is known that the log score is the only such rule that depends on the quoted density only through its value at the outcome that materializes. Here we…
Shannon entropy, a cornerstone of information theory, statistical physics and inference methods, is uniquely identified by the Shannon-Khinchin or Shore-Johnson axioms. Generalizations of Shannon entropy, motivated by the study of…
We present a detailed derivation of some estimators of Shannon entropy for discrete distributions. They hold for finite samples of N points distributed into M "boxes", with N and M -> oo, but N/M < oo. In the high sampling regime (<< 1…
The study of a machine learning problem is in many ways is difficult to separate from the study of the loss function being used. One avenue of inquiry has been to look at these loss functions in terms of their properties as scoring rules…