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Related papers: Proper Scoring Rules and Bregman Divergences

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To discuss the existence and uniqueness of proper scoring rules one needs to extend the associated entropy functions as sublinear functions to the conic hull of the prediction set. In some natural function spaces, such as the Lebesgue…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Evgeni Y. Ovcharov

In this paper we introduce a novel objective prior distribution levering on the connections between information, divergence and scoring rules. In particular, we do so from the starting point of convex functions representing information in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Stephen G. Walker , Cristiano Villa

The Bregman divergence (Bregman distance, Bregman measure of distance) is a certain useful substitute for a distance, obtained from a well-chosen function (the "Bregman function"). Bregman functions and divergences have been extensively…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Daniel Reem , Simeon Reich , Alvaro De Pierro

Many forecasts consist not of point predictions but concern the evolution of quantities. For example, a central bank might predict the interest rates during the next quarter, an epidemiologist might predict trajectories of infection rates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-12 Patric Bonnier , Harald Oberhauser

A class of distortions termed functional Bregman divergences is defined, which includes squared error and relative entropy. A functional Bregman divergence acts on functions or distributions, and generalizes the standard Bregman divergence…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 B. A. Frigyik , S. Srivastava , M. R. Gupta

Distances are fundamental primitives whose choice significantly impacts the performances of algorithms in machine learning and signal processing. However selecting the most appropriate distance for a given task is an endeavor. Instead of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-01 Frank Nielsen , Richard Nock

We develop new approaches in multi-class settings for constructing proper scoring rules and hinge-like losses and establishing corresponding regret bounds with respect to the zero-one or cost-weighted classification loss. Our construction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Zhiqiang Tan , Xinwei Zhang

Bregman proximal point algorithm (BPPA) has witnessed emerging machine learning applications, yet its theoretical understanding has been largely unexplored. We study the computational properties of BPPA through learning linear classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Yan Li , Caleb Ju , Ethan X. Fang , Tuo Zhao

Proper scoring rules are methods for encouraging honest assessment of probability distributions. Just like likelihood, a proper scoring rule can be applied to supply an unbiased estimating equation for any statistical model, and the theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Philip Dawid , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

Minimization of suitable statistical distances~(between the data and model densities) has proved to be a very useful technique in the field of robust inference. Apart from the class of $\phi$-divergences of \cite{a} and \cite{b}, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Sancharee Basak , Ayanendranath Basu

Bregman divergences generalize measures such as the squared Euclidean distance and the KL divergence, and arise throughout many areas of machine learning. In this paper, we focus on the problem of approximating an arbitrary Bregman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Ali Siahkamari , Xide Xia , Venkatesh Saligrama , David Castanon , Brian Kulis

Bregman divergences are a class of distance-like comparison functions which play fundamental roles in optimization, statistics, and information theory. One important property of Bregman divergences is that they cause two useful formulations…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Philip S. Chodrow

Proper scoring rules are an essential tool to assess the predictive performance of probabilistic forecasts. However, propriety alone does not ensure an informative characterization of predictive performance and it is recommended to compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Romain Pic , Clément Dombry , Philippe Naveau , Maxime Taillardat

Proper scoring rules have been a subject of growing interest in recent years, not only as tools for evaluation of probabilistic forecasts but also as methods for estimating probability distributions. In this article, we review the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Kartik Waghmare , Johanna Ziegel

Logarithmic score and information divergence appear in both information theory, statistics, statistical mechanics, and portfolio theory. We demonstrate that all these topics involve some kind of optimization that leads directly to the use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Peter Harremoës

Recently it has been demonstrated that the Shannon entropy or the von Neuman entropy are the only entropy functions that generate a local Bregman divergences as long as the state space has rank 3 or higher. In this paper we will study the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-05-07 Peter Harremoës

In situations where forecasters are scored on the quality of their probabilistic predictions, it is standard to use `proper' scoring rules to perform such scoring. These rules are desirable because they give forecasters no incentive to lie…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Spencer Greenberg

Regularization by the Shannon entropy enables us to efficiently and approximately solve optimal transport problems on a finite set. This paper is concerned with regularized optimal transport problems via Bregman divergence. We introduce the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Keiichi Morikuni , Koya Sakakibara , Asuka Takatsu

In this paper a new family of minimum divergence estimators based on the Bregman divergence is proposed, where the defining convex function has an exponential nature. These estimators avoid the necessity of using an intermediate kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Taranga Mukherjee , Abhijit Mandal , Ayanendranath Basu

What does it mean to say that, for example, the probability for rain tomorrow is between 20% and 30%? The theory for the evaluation of precise probabilistic forecasts is well-developed and is grounded in the key concepts of proper scoring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson
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