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In this paper we discuss a general methodology to compute the market risk measure over long time horizons and at extreme percentiles, which are the typical conditions needed for estimating Economic Capital. The proposed approach extends the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-12 Luca Spadafora , Marco Dubrovich , Marcello Terraneo

Determining contributions by sub-portfolios or single exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital for credit risk is an important risk measurement task. Often economic capital is measured as Value-at-Risk (VaR) of the portfolio loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Dirk Tasche

The valuation of over-the-counter derivatives is subject to a series of valuation adjustments known as xVA, which pose additional risks for financial institutions. Associated risk measures, such as the value-at-risk of an underlying…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-29 Christian Laudagé , Ivica Turkalj

Predicting future values at risk (fVaR) is an important problem in finance. They arise in the modelling of future initial margin requirements for counterparty credit risk and future market risk VaR. One is also interested in derived…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-27 Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

This thesis presents the Conditional Value-at-Risk concept and combines an analysis that covers its application as a risk measure and as a vector norm. For both areas of application the theory is revised in detail and examples are given to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-03 Jakob Kisiala

Value-at-Risk is one of the most popular risk management tools in the financial industry. Over the past 20 years several attempts to include VaR in the portfolio selection process have been proposed. However, using VaR as a risk measure in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-19 Francesco Cesarone , Manuel L Martino , Fabio Tardella

We study the optimal portfolio allocation problem from a Bayesian perspective using value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) as risk measures. By applying the posterior predictive distribution for the future portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-04 Taras Bodnar , Mathias Lindholm , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) have become the most popular measures of market risk in Financial and Insurance fields. However, the estimation of both risk measures is challenging, because it requires the knowledge…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Jacinto Martín , M. Isabel Parra , Eva L. Sanjuán , Mario M. Pizarro

Worst-case risk measures refer to the calculation of the largest value for risk measures when only partial information of the underlying distribution is available. For the popular risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-15 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

Designing dynamic portfolio insurance strategies under market conditions switching between two or more regimes is a challenging task in financial economics. Recently, a promising approach employing the value-at-risk (VaR) measure to assign…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Peyman Alipour , Ali Foroush Bastani

Value at Risk (VaR) and stress testing are two of the most widely used approaches in portfolio risk management to estimate potential market value losses under adverse market moves. VaR quantifies potential loss in value over a specified…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Krishan Mohan Nagpal

The ability to make optimal decisions under uncertainty remains important across a variety of disciplines from portfolio management to power engineering. This generally implies applying some safety margins on uncertain parameters that may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-05 Matt Roveto , Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

Generally, in the financial literature, the notion of quadratic VaR is implicitly confused with the Delta-Gamma VaR, because more authors dealt with portfolios that contains derivatives instruments. In this paper, we postpone to estimate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jules Sadefo Kamdem

This paper is concerned with the process of risk allocation for a generic multivariate model when the risk measure is chosen as the Value-at-Risk (VaR). We recast the traditional Euler contributions from an expectation conditional on an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Takaaki Koike , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are popular risk measures from academic, industrial and regulatory perspectives. The problem of minimizing CVaR is theoretically known to be of Neyman-Pearson type binary solution. We…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-19 Jing Li , Mingxin Xu

This paper introduces a novel approach to financial risk assessment by incorporating topological data analysis (TDA), specifically cohomology groups, into the evaluation of equities portfolios. The study aims to go beyond traditional risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Amit Kumar Jha

In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested. The new method is developed from the perspective of Bayesian statistics and it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Taras Bodnar , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

In several real-world applications involving decision making under uncertainty, the traditional expected value objective may not be suitable, as it may be necessary to control losses in the case of a rare but extreme event. Conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Ravi Kumar Kolla , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat , Krishna Jagannathan