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We study a class of two-stage stochastic programs in which the second stage includes a set of components with uncertain capacity, and the expression for the distribution function of the uncertain capacity includes first-stage variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Hugh Medal , Samuel Affar

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic economic model predictive control (SEMPC) that minimizes average economic cost while satisfying an empirical expected shortfall (EES) constraint to manage risk. A new scenario-based problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Alireza Arastou , Algo Carè , Ye Wang , Marco Campi , Erik Weyer

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

We present a stochastic constrained output-feedback data-driven predictive control scheme for linear time-invariant systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The approach uses data-driven predictors based on an extension of Willems'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In this paper, we introduce a significant extension, called scenario with certificates (SwC), of the so-called scenario approach for uncertain optimization problems. This extension is motivated by the observation that in many control…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Simone Formentin , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Luca Zaccarian , Sergio M. Savaresi

The scenario approach is an established data-driven design framework that comes equipped with a powerful theory linking design complexity to generalization properties. In this approach, data are simultaneously used both for design and for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Algo Carè , Marco C. Campi , Simone Garatti

We study the sample complexity of stochastic convex optimization when problem parameters, e.g., the distance to optimality, are unknown. We pursue two strategies. First, we develop a reliable model selection method that avoids overfitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Jared Lawrence , Ari Kalinsky , Hannah Bradfield , Yair Carmon , Oliver Hinder

We develop two penalty based difference of convex (DC) algorithms for solving chance constrained programs. First, leveraging a rank-based DC decomposition of the chance constraint, we propose a proximal penalty based DC algorithm in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Zhiping Li , Nan Jiang , Rujun Jiang

We study contextual chance-constrained programming under decision-dependent uncertainty. In this setting, a decision not only needs to satisfy constraints but also alters the distribution of uncertain outcomes. This dependency makes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Xiangting Liu , Shengran Wang , Kaile Yan , Zhi-Hai Zhang

This paper proposes strategies for designing a system whose computational model is subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory variables, which are caused by randomness in physical parameters, are draws from a possibly unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Luis G. Crespo

Designing controllers for systems affected by model uncertainty can prove to be a challenge, especially when seeking the optimal compromise between the conflicting goals of identification and control. This trade-off is explicitly taken into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-30 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Max Schlichting , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

This paper discusses a novel probabilistic approach for the design of robust model predictive control (MPC) laws for discrete-time linear systems affected by parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed technique is based…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Lorenzo Fagiano

This paper investigates probabilistic robustness of nonconvex-nonconcave minimax problems via the scenario approach. Specifically, under convex strategy sets for all players, inspired by recent advances in scenario optimization, we first…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Huan Peng , Guanpu Chen , Karl Henrik Johansson

This work investigates the challenge of ensuring safety guarantees in the presence of uncontrollable agents, whose behaviors are stochastic and depend on both their own and the system's states. We present a neural model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Shuqi Wang , Mingyang Feng , Yu Chen , Yue Gao , Xiang Yin

We study a tight Bennett-type concentration inequality for sums of heterogeneous and independent variables, defined as a one-dimensional minimization. We show that this refinement, which outperforms the standard known bounds, remains…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Quentin Jacquet , Riadh Zorgati

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

We consider optimal control problems involving nonlinear ordinary differential equations with uncertain inputs. Using the sample average approximation, we obtain optimal control problems with ensembles of deterministic dynamical systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

Background: Clinical prediction models are increasingly used to inform healthcare decisions, but determining the minimum sample size for their development remains a critical and unresolved challenge. Inadequate sample sizes can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Diana Shamsutdinova , Felix Zimmer , Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran , Sarah Markham , Daniel Stahl , Gordon Forbes , Ewan Carr

The last decade witnessed a rise in the importance of supervised learning applications involving {\em big data} and {\em big models}. Big data refers to situations where the amounts of training data available and needed causes difficulties…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-01 Konstantin Mishchenko , Peter Richtárik
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