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We employ the framework of the Koopman operator and dynamic mode decomposition to devise a computationally cheap and easily implementable method to detect transient dynamics and regime changes in time series. We argue that typically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-10-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Federica Gugole

We study the metastable behavior of diffusion processes in narrow tube domains, where the metastability is induced by entropic barriers. We identify a sequence of characteristic time scales $\{T_\epsilon^i\}_{1 \leq i \leq \abs{V'}}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Wen-Tai Hsu

Bifurcations can cause dynamical systems with slowly varying parameters to transition to far-away attractors. The terms ``critical transition'' or ``tipping point'' have been used to describe this situation. Critical transitions have been…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Christian Kuehn

Nonlinear dynamical systems may be exposed to tipping points, critical thresholds at which small changes in the external inputs or in the systems parameters abruptly shift the system to an alternative state with a contrasting dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-10-07 Everton S. Medeiros , Iberê L. Caldas , Murilo S. Baptista , Ulrike Feudel

Animal behavior unfolds across many timescales, from fast movement patterns to slow changes in internal states such as hunger, arousal, and circadian phase. These slow variables are rarely measured directly and must instead be inferred from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-26 Rajpreet Kaur , Kanishk Jain , Gordon J. Berman

This paper proposes a blocker-aware multicarrier integrated sensing and communication (ISAC)-non orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) system, leveraging hybrid beamforming and dynamic power allocation to enhance spectrum efficiency in 6G…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Abdulahi Abiodun Badrudeen , Nakyung Lee , Adam Dubs , Sunwoo Kim

In line with Pomeau's conjecture about the relevance of directed percolation (DP) to turbulence onset/decay in wall-bounded flows, we propose a minimal stochastic model dedicated to the interpretation of the spatially intermittent regimes…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-18 Paul Manneville , Masaki Shimizu

We consider a nonlinear oscillator with state-dependent time-delay that displays a countably infinite number of nested limit cycle attractors, \emph{i.e.} megastability. In the low-memory regime, the equation reduces to a self-excited…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-18 Álvaro G. López , Rahil N. Valani

In this work, we introduce an information-theoretic approach for considering changes in dynamics of finitely dimensional open quantum systems governed by master equations. This experimentally motivated approach arises from considering how…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-05-03 Katarzyna Macieszczak

Transformer-based models have demonstrated exceptional performance across diverse domains, becoming the state-of-the-art solution for addressing sequential machine learning problems. Even though we have a general understanding of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-06-12 Ángel Poc-López , Miguel Aguilera

The present paper develops a reduced-order model capable of modeling unsteady aerodynamic loads in the transonic regime using system identification techniques. The computational fluid dynamics (CFD) calculations are based on the Euler…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-20 Ana Cristina Neves Carloni , João Luiz F. Azevedo

Modeling how network-level traffic flow changes in the urban environment is useful for decision-making in transportation, public safety and urban planning. The traffic flow system can be viewed as a dynamic process that transits between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Xiaoliang Lei , Hao Mei , Bin Shi , Hua Wei

We develop an adaptive control architecture to achieve stabilization and command following of uncertain dynamical systems with improved transient performance. Our framework consists of a new reference system and an adaptive controller. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Tansel Yucelen , Gerardo De La Torre , Eric N. Johnson

System identification is a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning, control theory and signal processing, and the non-asymptotic analysis of the corresponding sample complexity is challenging and elusive, even for linear time-varying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Sen Lin , Hang Wang , Junshan Zhang

Early and accurate prediction of solar active region (AR) emergence is crucial for space weather forecasting. Building on established Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based approaches for forecasting the continuum intensity decrease associated…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 Jonas Tirona , Sarang Patil , Spiridon Kasapis , Eren Dogan , John Stefan , Irina N. Kitiashvili , Alexander G. Kosovichev , Mengjia Xu

Current early warning signs for tipping points often fail to distinguish between catastrophic shifts and less dramatic state changes, such as spatial pattern formation. This paper introduces a novel method that addresses this limitation by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Paul A. Sanders , Robbin Bastiaansen

Isolating slower dynamics from fast fluctuations has proven remarkably powerful, but how do we proceed from partial observations of dynamical systems for which we lack underlying equations? Here, we construct maximally-predictive states by…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Antonio Carlos Costa , Tosif Ahamed , David Jordan , Greg Stephens

Reduced-order models for flows that exhibit time-periodic behavior are critical for several tasks, including active control and optimization. One well-known procedure to obtain the desired reduced-order model in the proximity of a periodic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-30 Alberto Padovan , Clarence W. Rowley

Regimes of interactions between motions on different time-scales are investigated in the FLOSSII dataset for nocturnal near-surface stable boundary layer (SBL) turbulence. The non-stationary response of turbulent vertical velocity variance…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-23 Nikki Vercauteren , Vyacheslav Boyko , Davide Faranda , Ivana Stiperski

Work zone is one of the major causes of non-recurrent traffic congestion and road incidents. Despite the significance of its impact, studies on predicting the traffic impact of work zones remain scarce. In this paper, we propose a data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Qinhua Jiang , Xishun Liao , Yaofa Gong , Jiaqi Ma