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We consider the classical problem of sequential probability assignment under logarithmic loss while competing against an arbitrary, potentially nonparametric class of experts. We obtain tight bounds on the minimax regret via a new approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Blair Bilodeau , Dylan J. Foster , Daniel M. Roy

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

The problem of online prediction with sequential side information under logarithmic loss is studied, and general upper and lower bounds on the minimax regret incurred by the predictor is established. The upper bounds on the minimax regret…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Alankrita Bhatt , Young-Han Kim

We study the problem of sequential probability assignment under logarithmic loss, both with and without side information. Our objective is to analyze the minimax regret -- a notion extensively studied in the literature -- in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Zeyu Jia , Yury Polyanskiy , Alexander Rakhlin

We study the problem of expert advice under partial bandit feedback setting and create a sequential minimax optimal algorithm. Our algorithm works with a more general partial monitoring setting, where, in contrast to the classical bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We study the problem of sequential prediction and online minimax regret with stochastically generated features under a general loss function. We introduce a notion of expected worst case minimax regret that generalizes and encompasses prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

We study the fundamental problem of sequential probability assignment, also known as online learning with logarithmic loss, with respect to an arbitrary, possibly nonparametric hypothesis class. Our goal is to obtain a complexity measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Ziyi Liu , Idan Attias , Daniel M. Roy

We investigate the problem of cumulative regret minimization for individual sequence prediction with respect to the best expert in a finite family of size K under limited access to information. We assume that in each round, the learner can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-06 El Mehdi Saad , G. Blanchard

This work introduces the first small-loss and gradual-variation regret bounds for online portfolio selection, marking the first instances of data-dependent bounds for online convex optimization with non-Lipschitz, non-smooth losses. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Chung-En Tsai , Ying-Ting Lin , Yen-Huan Li

We revisit the classical problem of universal prediction of stochastic sequences with a finite time horizon $T$ known to the learner. The question we investigate is whether it is possible to derive vanishing regret bounds that hold with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Matthias Frey , Jonathan H. Manton , Jingge Zhu

We analyze continual learning on a sequence of separable linear classification tasks with binary labels. We show theoretically that learning with weak regularization reduces to solving a sequential max-margin problem, corresponding to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Itay Evron , Edward Moroshko , Gon Buzaglo , Maroun Khriesh , Badea Marjieh , Nathan Srebro , Daniel Soudry

We consider decision-making problems involving the optimization of linear objective functions with uncertain coefficients. The probability distribution of the coefficients--which are assumed to be stochastic in nature--is unknown to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Eilyan Bitar

We aim to design strategies for sequential decision making that adjust to the difficulty of the learning problem. We study this question both in the setting of prediction with expert advice, and for more general combinatorial decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-02 Wouter M. Koolen , Tim van Erven

We develop a general theory to optimize the frequentist regret for sequential learning problems, where efficient bandit and reinforcement learning algorithms can be derived from unified Bayesian principles. We propose a novel optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

We study online aggregation of the predictions of experts, and first show new second-order regret bounds in the standard setting, which are obtained via a version of the Prod algorithm (and also a version of the polynomially weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-11 Pierre Gaillard , Gilles Stoltz , Tim Van Erven

We define "decision swap regret" which generalizes both prediction for downstream swap regret and omniprediction, and give algorithms for obtaining it for arbitrary multi-dimensional Lipschitz loss functions in online adversarial settings.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Jiuyao Lu , Aaron Roth , Mirah Shi

In the framework of prediction of individual sequences, sequential prediction methods are to be constructed that perform nearly as well as the best expert from a given class. We consider prediction strategies that compete with the class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-12 András Gyorgy , Tamás Linder , Gábor Lugosi

This paper describes an efficient reduction of the learning problem of ranking to binary classification. The reduction guarantees an average pairwise misranking regret of at most that of the binary classifier regret, improving a recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-12-07 Nir Ailon , Mehryar Mohri

Classification is an important statistical learning tool. In real application, besides high prediction accuracy, it is often desirable to estimate class conditional probabilities for new observations. For traditional problems where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Guo Xian Yau , Chong Zhang
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