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In many settings, a data curator links records from two files to produce datasets that are shared with secondary analysts. Analysts use the linked files to estimate models of interest, such as regressions. Such two-stage approaches do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Xueyan Hu , Jerome P. Reiter

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

Competing risk models are survival models with several events of interest acting in competition and whose occurrence is only observed for the event that occurs first in time. This paper presents a Bayesian approach to these models in which…

Bayes Factors, the Bayesian tool for hypothesis testing, are receiving increasing attention in the literature. Compared to their frequentist rivals ($p$-values or test statistics), Bayes Factors have the conceptual advantage of providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Stavros Nikolakopoulos , Björn Alfons Edmar , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Background: Mendelian randomization (MR) is a useful approach to causal inference from observational studies when randomised controlled trials are not feasible. However, study heterogeneity of two association studies required in MR is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Linyi Zou , Hui Guo , Carlo Berzuini

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

Computer Vision practitioners must thoroughly understand their model's performance, but conditional evaluation is complex and error-prone. In biometric verification, model performance over continuous covariates---real-number attributes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Mel McCurrie , Hamish Nicholson , Walter J. Scheirer , Samuel Anthony

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

Background: Mendelian randomization (MR) has been widely applied to causal inference in medical research. It uses genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) to investigate putative causal relationship between an exposure and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Linyi Zou , Hui Guo , Carlo Berzuini

We propose a novel approach to Bayesian analysis that is provably robust to outliers in the data and often has computational advantages over standard methods. Our technique is based on splitting the data into non-overlapping subgroups,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Stanislav Minsker , Sanvesh Srivastava , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

Analogical reasoning depends fundamentally on the ability to learn and generalize about relations between objects. We develop an approach to relational learning which, given a set of pairs of objects…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-30 Ricardo Silva , Katherine Heller , Zoubin Ghahramani , Edoardo M. Airoldi

A common task in experimental sciences is to fit mathematical models to real-world measurements to improve understanding of natural phenomenon (reverse-engineering or inverse modeling). When complex dynamical systems are considered, such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Jean-Charles Croix , Nicolas Durrande , Mauricio Alvarez

We consider the problems of hypothesis testing and model comparison under a flexible Bayesian linear regression model whose formulation is closely connected with the linear mixed effect model and the parametric models for SNP set analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 Xiaoquan Wen

Canonical correlation analysis is a family of multivariate statistical methods for the analysis of paired sets of variables. Since its proposition, canonical correlation analysis has for instance been extended to extract relations between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Viivi Uurtio , João M. Monteiro , Jaz Kandola , John Shawe-Taylor , Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes , Juho Rousu

Empirical Bayes methods have been around for a long time and have a wide range of applications. These methods provide a way in which historical data can be aggregated to provide estimates of the posterior mean. This thesis revisits some of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Xiuwen Duan

Re-randomization has gained popularity as a tool for experiment-based causal inference due to its superior covariate balance and statistical efficiency compared to classic randomized experiments. However, the basic re-randomization method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Zhaoyang Liu , Tingxuan Han , Donald B. Rubin , Ke Deng

Structure and parameters in a Bayesian network uniquely specify the probability distribution of the modeled domain. The locality of both structure and probabilistic information are the great benefits of Bayesian networks and require the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Volker Tresp , Michael Haft , Reimar Hofmann

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij