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The analysis of excursion sets in imaging data is essential to a wide range of scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology and cosmology. Despite growing literature, there is little published concerning the comparison of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Thomas Maullin-Sapey , Armin Schwartzman , Thomas E. Nichols

An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin

An interesting statistical problem is to find regions where some studied process exceeds a certain level. Estimating such regions so that the probability for exceeding the level in the entire set is equal to some predefined value is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-19 David Bolin , Finn Lindgren

Estimating excursion set confidence regions seeks to identify regions where a function may exceed some threshold with a given confidence level. This paper focuses on estimating such confidence regions in cases where the function has random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Lucas Brunel , Mathieu Balesdent , Loïc Brevault , Rodolphe Le Riche , Bruno Sudret

In scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology, and cosmology it is useful to study the uncertainty of excursion sets of imaging data. While the case of imaging data obtained from a single study condition has already been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Thomas J. Maullin-Sapey , Fabian J. E. Telschow

We present a method, based on the correlation function of excursion sets above a given threshold, to test the Gaussianity of the CMB temperature fluctuations in the sky. In particular, this method can be applied to discriminate between…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 R. B. Barreiro , J. L. Sanz , E. Martinez-Gonzalez , J. Silk

Filamentary structures, also called ridges, generalize the concept of modes of density functions and provide low-dimensional representations of point clouds. Using kernel type plug-in estimators, we give asymptotic confidence regions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Wanli Qiao

This article concerns the application of bootstrap methodology to construct a likelihood-based confidence region for operating conditions associated with the maximum of a response surface constrained to a specified region. Unlike classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-14 Roger D. Gibb , I-Li Lu , Walter H. Carter

In this paper, we consider a probabilistic setting where the probability measures are considered to be random objects. We propose a procedure of construction non-asymptotic confidence sets for empirical barycenters in 2-Wasserstein space…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-13 Johannes Ebert , Vladimir Spokoiny , Alexandra Suvorikova

We develop large sample theory including nonparametric confidence regions for $r$-dimensional ridges of probability density functions on $\mathbb{R}^d$, where $1\leq r<d$. We view ridges as the intersections of level sets of some special…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-24 Wanli Qiao

An exceedance region is the set of locations in a spatial domain where a process exceeds some threshold. Examples of exceedance regions include areas where ozone concentrations exceed safety standards, there is high risk for tornadoes or…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-02 Joshua P. French , Stephan R. Sain

We use the statistics of regions above or below a temperature threshold (excursion sets) to study the cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy in models with primordial non-Gaussianity of the local type. By computing the full-sky…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Graziano Rossi , Pravabati Chingangbam , Changbom Park

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Studying the geometry generated by Gaussian and Gaussian- related random fields via their excursion sets is now a well developed and well understood subject. The purely non-Gaussian scenario has, however, not been studied at all. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-28 Robert J. Adler , Gennady Samorodnitsky , Jonathan E. Taylor

The problem of constructing a simultaneous confidence surface for the 2-dimensional mean function of a non-stationary functional time series is challenging as these bands can not be built on classical limit theory for the maximum absolute…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Let $X=\{X(x): x\in\mathbb{S}^N\}$ be a real-valued, centered Gaussian random field indexed on the $N$-dimensional unit sphere $\mathbb{S}^N$. Approximations to the excursion probability ${\mathbb{P}}\{\sup_{x\in\mathbb{S}^N}X(x)\ge u\}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Dan Cheng , Yimin Xiao

We focus on the problem of estimating and quantifying uncertainties on the excursion set of a function under a limited evaluation budget. We adopt a Bayesian approach where the objective function is assumed to be a realization of a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Dario Azzimonti , Julien Bect , Clément Chevalier , David Ginsbourger

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

We are interested in creating statistical methods to provide informative summaries of random fields through the geometry of their excursion sets. To this end, we introduce an estimator for the length of the perimeter of excursion sets of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

We derive non-asymptotic confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependence structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric bounded distribution, and we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain
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