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In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

During the last two decades there has been a growing interest in Particle Filtering (PF). However, PF suffers from two long-standing problems that are referred to as sample degeneracy and impoverishment. We are investigating methods that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Tiancheng Li , Shudong Sun , Tariq P. Sattar , Juan M. Corchado

Over the years, sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and, equivalently, particle filter (PF) theory has gained substantial attention from researchers. However, the performance of the resampling methodology, also known as offspring selection, has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-26 Oskar Kviman , Hazal Koptagel , Harald Melin , Jens Lagergren

We introduce the idea that resampling from past observations in a Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampler can fasten convergence. We prove that proper resampling from the past does not disturb the limit distribution of the algorithm. We illustrate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yves F. Atchade

We propose a method to efficiently integrate truncated probability densities. The method uses Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample from a probability density matching the function being integrated. The required normalisation or…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-10 A. John Arul , Kannan Iyer

The particle-based, rapid incremental smoother (PARIS) is a sequential Monte Carlo technique allowing for efficient online approximation of expectations of additive functionals under Feynman--Kac path distributions. Under weak assumptions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Gabriel Cardoso , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

In light of the recent advancements in machine learning, we propose a novel approach to neutron source distribution estimation through the utilisation of probabilistic generative models. The estimation is based on a Monte Carlo particle…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2026-05-13 Jose Ignacio Robledo , Norberto Schmidt , Klaus Lieutenant , Jingjing Li , Stefan Kesselheim , Paul Zakalek

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods such as Gibbs sampling are finding widespread use in applied statistics and machine learning. These often lead to difficult computational problems, which are increasingly being solved on parallel and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Alexander Terenin , Eric P. Xing

Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Probabilistic inference is a fundamental task in modern machine learning. Recent advances in tensor network (TN) contraction algorithms have enabled the development of better exact inference methods. However, many common inference tasks in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Martin Roa-Villescas , Xuanzhao Gao , Sander Stuijk , Henk Corporaal , Jin-Guo Liu

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We study weighted particle systems in which new generations are resampled from current particles with probabilities proportional to their weights. This covers a broad class of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, widely-used in applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Adam M. Johansen , Dario Spano

There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang , Paul Fearnhead

Resampling is a key component of sample-based recursive state estimation in particle filters. Recent work explores differentiable particle filters for end-to-end learning. However, resampling remains a challenge in these works, as it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Michael Zhu , Kevin Murphy , Rico Jonschkowski

Monte Carlo simulations are an essential tool in particle physics data analysis. Events are typically generated alongside weights that redistribute the cross section of the simulated process across the phase space. These weights can be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-13 Benjamin Nachman , Dennis Noll

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Conditional particle filters (CPFs) with backward/ancestor sampling are powerful methods for sampling from the posterior distribution of the latent states of a dynamic model such as a hidden Markov model. However, the performance of these…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-21 Santeri Karppinen , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn