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We consider the online version of the isotonic regression problem. Given a set of linearly ordered points (e.g., on the real line), the learner must predict labels sequentially at adversarially chosen positions and is evaluated by her total…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Wojciech Kotłowski , Wouter M. Koolen , Alan Malek

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. We are mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

Deep learning has been applied to various tasks in the field of machine learning and has shown superiority to other common procedures such as kernel methods. To provide a better theoretical understanding of the reasons for its success, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Satoshi Hayakawa , Taiji Suzuki

We consider the problem of sequential prediction and provide tools to study the minimax value of the associated game. Classical statistical learning theory provides several useful complexity measures to study learning with i.i.d. data. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-13 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan , Ambuj Tewari

We compare classification and regression tasks in an overparameterized linear model with Gaussian features. On the one hand, we show that with sufficient overparameterization all training points are support vectors: solutions obtained by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Vidya Muthukumar , Adhyyan Narang , Vignesh Subramanian , Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Anant Sahai

In this paper, we consider the problem of Gaussian approximation for the online linear regression task. We derive the corresponding rates for the setting of a constant learning rate and study the explicit dependence of the convergence rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Marat Khusainov , Marina Sheshukova , Alain Durmus , Sergey Samsonov

We define "decision swap regret" which generalizes both prediction for downstream swap regret and omniprediction, and give algorithms for obtaining it for arbitrary multi-dimensional Lipschitz loss functions in online adversarial settings.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Jiuyao Lu , Aaron Roth , Mirah Shi

We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

In this work, we explore online convex optimization (OCO) and introduce a new condition and analysis that provides fast rates by exploiting the curvature of feasible sets. In online linear optimization, it is known that if the average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Taira Tsuchiya , Shinji Ito

In recent years, functional linear models have attracted growing attention in statistics and machine learning, with the aim of recovering the slope function or its functional predictor. This paper considers online regularized learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-28 Yuan Mao , Zheng-Chu Guo

There is a growing demand for efficient data removal to comply with regulations like the GDPR and to mitigate the influence of biased or corrupted data. This has motivated the field of machine unlearning, which aims to eliminate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jingyi Xie , Linjun Zhang , Sai Li

This paper investigates the impact of the loss function in value-based methods for reinforcement learning through an analysis of underlying prediction objectives. We theoretically show that mean absolute error is a better prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Alex Ayoub , David Szepesvári , Alireza Bakhtiari , Csaba Szepesvári , Dale Schuurmans

We consider the problem of online nonparametric regression with arbitrary deterministic sequences. Using ideas from the chaining technique, we design an algorithm that achieves a Dudley-type regret bound similar to the one obtained in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Pierre Gaillard , Sébastien Gerchinovitz

We study a general class of online learning problems where the feedback is specified by a graph. This class includes online prediction with expert advice and the multi-armed bandit problem, but also several learning problems where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-27 Noga Alon , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Ofer Dekel , Tomer Koren

We introduce a general framework of stochastic online convex optimization to obtain fast-rate stochastic regret bounds. We prove that algorithms such as online newton steps and a scale-free 10 version of Bernstein online aggregation achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Olivier Wintenberger

We consider an online learning to rank setting in which, at each round, an oblivious adversary generates a list of $m$ documents, pertaining to a query, and the learner produces scores to rank the documents. The adversary then generates a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Sougata Chaudhuri , Ambuj Tewari

We consider sequential maximization of performance metrics that are general functions of a confusion matrix of a classifier (such as precision, F-measure, or G-mean). Such metrics are, in general, non-decomposable over individual instances,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Wojciech Kotłowski , Marek Wydmuch , Erik Schultheis , Rohit Babbar , Krzysztof Dembczyński

We consider online learning in episodic loop-free Markov decision processes (MDPs), where the loss function can change arbitrarily between episodes, and the transition function is not known to the learner. We show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Aviv Rosenberg , Yishay Mansour

We study the regret of optimal strategies for online convex optimization games. Using von Neumann's minimax theorem, we show that the optimal regret in this adversarial setting is closely related to the behavior of the empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-04-01 Jacob Abernethy , Alekh Agarwal , Peter L. Bartlett , Alexander Rakhlin

An open challenge in supervised learning is \emph{conceptual drift}: a data point begins as classified according to one label, but over time the notion of that label changes. Beyond linear autoregressive models, transfer and meta learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Amrit Singh Bedi , Alec Koppel , Ketan Rajawat , Brian M. Sadler