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In this paper we introduce a statistical inference framework for estimating the contagion source from a partially observed contagion spreading process on an arbitrary network structure. The framework is based on a maximum likelihood…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Alen Lancic , Hrvoje Stefancic , Mile Sikic , Tomislav Smuc

Information, ideas, and diseases, or more generally, contagions, spread over space and time through individual transmissions via social networks, as well as through external sources. A detailed picture of any diffusion process can be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Fangcao Xu , Bruce Desmarais , Donna Peuquet

In a diversified context with multiple social networking sites, heterogeneous activity patterns and different user-user relations, the concept of "information cascade" is all but univocal. Despite the fact that such information cascades can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-20 Raquel A Baños , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno

Diffusion models show promising generation capability for a variety of data. Despite their high generation quality, the inference for diffusion models is still time-consuming due to the numerous sampling iterations required. To accelerate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Kexun Zhang , Xianjun Yang , William Yang Wang , Lei Li

Quantifying how spatial disorder affects the movement of a diffusing particle or agent is fundamental to target search studies. When diffusion occurs on a network, that is on a highly disordered environment, we lack the mathematical tools…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-15 Daniel Marris , Chittaranjan Hens , Subrata Ghosh , Luca Giuggioli

Diffusion models, emerging as powerful deep generative tools, excel in various applications. They operate through a two-steps process: introducing noise into training samples and then employing a model to convert random noise into new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Huijie Zhang , Yifu Lu , Ismail Alkhouri , Saiprasad Ravishankar , Dogyoon Song , Qing Qu

The epidemic spreading of a disease can be described by a contact network whose nodes are persons or centers of contagion and links heterogeneous relations among them. We provide a procedure to identify multiple sources of an outbreak or…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-11-13 Vincenzo Fioriti , Marta Chinnici

Given an aftermath of a cascade in the network, i.e. a set $V_I$ of "infected" nodes after an epidemic outbreak or a propagation of rumors/worms/viruses, how can we infer the sources of the cascade? Answering this challenging question is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Hung T. Nguyen , Preetam Ghosh , Michael L. Mayo , Thang N. Dinh

Recovering high-dimensional signals from corrupted measurements is a central challenge in inverse problems. Recent advances in generative diffusion models have shown remarkable empirical success in providing strong data-driven priors, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Oscar Leong , Yann Traonmilin

Inference for belief networks using Gibbs sampling produces a distribution for unobserved variables that differs from the correct distribution by a (usually) unknown error, since convergence to the right distribution occurs only…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Michael Harvey , Radford M. Neal

This work presents a mathematical model to enable rapid prediction of airborne contaminant transport based on scarce sensor measurements. The method is designed for applications in critical infrastructure protection (CIP), such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Marco Mattuschka , Daniel Walter , Max von Danwitz , Alexander Popp

Rumor propagation in social networks undermines social stability and public trust, calling for interventions that are both effective and resource-efficient. We develop a node-level, time-varying optimal intervention framework that allocates…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Yan Zhu , Qingyang Liu , Chang Guo , Tianlong Fan , Linyuan Lü

Social networks are the major routes for most individuals to exchange their opinions about new products, social trends and political issues via their interactions. It is often of significant importance to figure out who initially diffuses…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jaeyoung Choi , Sangwoo Moon , Jiin Woo , Kyunghwan Son , Jinwoo Shin , Yung Yi

Training diffusion models requires large datasets. However, acquiring large volumes of high-quality data can be challenging, for example, collecting large numbers of high-resolution images and long videos. On the other hand, there are many…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Xudong Ma

Employing a forward diffusion chain to gradually map the data to a noise distribution, diffusion-based generative models learn how to generate the data by inferring a reverse diffusion chain. However, this approach is slow and costly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Huangjie Zheng , Pengcheng He , Weizhu Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

Mastering the dynamics of social influence requires separating, in a database of information propagation traces, the genuine causal processes from temporal correlation, i.e., homophily and other spurious causes. However, most studies to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-08-31 Francesco Bonchi , Francesco Gullo , Bud Mishra , Daniele Ramazzotti

The network communication scenario where one or more receivers request all the information transmitted by different sources is considered. We introduce distributed polynomial-time network codes in the presence of malicious nodes. Our codes…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-01-18 Hongyi Yao , Theodoros K. Dikaliotis , Sidharth Jaggi , Tracey Ho

Consider the problem where a statistician in a two-node system receives rate-limited information from a transmitter about marginal observations of a memoryless process generated from two possible distributions. Using its own observations,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Gil Katz , Pablo Piantanida , Mérouane Debbah

There has been significant interest in the networking community on the impact of cascade effects on the diffusion of networking technology upgrades in the Internet. Thinking of the global Internet as a graph, where each node represents an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Sharon Goldberg , Zhenming Liu

Previous work has shown that for contagion processes on extended star networks (trees with exactly one node of degree > 2), there is a simple, closed-form expression for a highly accurate approximation to the maximum likelihood infection…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Sam Spencer , Lav R. Varshney