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The computation of two Bayesian predictive distributions which are discrete mixtures of incomplete beta functions is considered. The number of iterations can easily become large for these distributions and thus, the accuracy of the result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jacques Poitevineau , Bruno Lecoutre

Bayesian filtering is a well-known problem that aims to estimate plausible states of a dynamical system from observations. Among existing approaches to solve this problem, particle filters are theoretically exact for non-linear dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Thomas Savary , François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

A quality-Bayesian approach, combining the direct sampling method and the Bayesian inversion, is proposed to reconstruct the locations and intensities of the unknown acoustic sources using partial data. First, we extend the direct sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zhaoxing Li , Yanfang Liu , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

Denoising diffusion models have recently emerged as the predominant paradigm for generative modelling on image domains. In addition, their extension to Riemannian manifolds has facilitated a range of applications across the natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Nic Fishman , Leo Klarner , Emile Mathieu , Michael Hutchinson , Valentin de Bortoli

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-28 Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

In this paper the elicitation of probabilities from human experts is considered as a measurement process, which may be disturbed by random 'measurement noise'. Using Bayesian concepts a second order probability distribution is derived…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Gerhard Paaß

A model-based approach is developed for clustering categorical data with no natural ordering. The proposed method exploits the Hamming distance to define a family of probability mass functions to model the data. The elements of this family…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Raffaele Argiento , Edoardo Filippi-Mazzola , Lucia Paci

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We propose a filter for piecewise affine state-space (PWASS) models. In each filtering recursion, the true filtering posterior distribution is a mixture of truncated normal distributions. The proposed filter approximates the mixture with a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-08 Rafael Rui , Tohid Ardeshiri , Henri Nurminen , Alexandre Bazanella , Fredrik Gustafsson

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

Systems that are based on recursive Bayesian updates for classification limit the cost of evidence collection through certain stopping/termination criteria and accordingly enforce decision making. Conventionally, two termination criteria…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Aziz Kocanaogullari , Murat Akcakaya , Deniz Erdogmus

We present a model for exact recursive Bayesian filtering based on lifted multiset states. Combining multisets with lifting makes it possible to simultaneously exploit multiple strategies for reducing inference complexity when compared to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-08 Stefan Lüdtke , Max Schröder , Sebastian Bader , Kristian Kersting , Thomas Kirste

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

Circular time series has received relatively little attention in statistics and modeling complex circular time series using the state space approach is non-existent in the literature. In this article we introduce a flexible Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Satyaki Mazumder , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We propose a framework for inversion-based estimation of certain categories of faults in discrete-time linear systems. The fault signal, as an unknown input, is reconstructed from its projections onto two subspaces. One projection is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Esmaeil Naderi , Khashayar Khorasani

Sparsity constraints on the control inputs of a linear dynamical system naturally arise in several practical applications such as networked control, computer vision, seismic signal processing, and cyber-physical systems. In this work, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-11 Rupam Kalyan Chakraborty , Geethu Joseph , Chandra R. Murthy

This paper presents a method for jointly estimating the state, input, and parameters of linear systems in an online fashion. The method is specially designed for measurements that are corrupted with non-Gaussian noise or outliers, which are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Keith Moffat , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Despite the numerous applications that may be expeditiously modelled by counting processes, stochastic filtering strategies involving Poisson-type observations still remain somewhat poorly developed. In this work, we propose a Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Mamatha Venugopal , Ram Mohan Vasu , Debasish Roy