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We study a rough differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H$ $(1/4<H \le 1/2)$. Under H\"ormander's condition on the coefficient vector fields, the solution has a smooth density for each fixed time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Yuzuru Inahama , Nobuaki Naganuma

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for quadratic variation of a harmonizable fractional $\al$-stable process. We show a law of large numbers with a non-ergodic limit and obtain weak convergence towards a L\'evy-driven Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mark Podolskij

One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is an important scale-invariant Gaussian non-Markovian process with stationary increments, which serves as a prototypical example of a system with long-range temporal correlations and anomalous diffusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-29 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

Even in a simple stochastic process, the study of the full distribution of time integrated observables can be a difficult task. This is the case of a much-studied process such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process where, recently, anomalous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Alberto Bassanoni , Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

We provide a comprehensive analysis of the positional dynamics and average thermodynamics of an overdamped Brownian particle subject to both, harmonic confinement and annealed disorder due to a temporarily fluctuating trap stiffness. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-17 Deepak Gupta , Sabine H. L. Klapp

A class of Gaussian processes generalizing the usual fractional Brownian motion for Hurst indices in (1/2,1) and multifractal Brownian motion introduced in Ralchenko and Shevchenko (Theory Probab Math Stat 80, 2010) and Boufoussi et al.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Jelena Ryvkina

In this paper we present a parametric estimation method for certain multi-parameter heavy-tailed L\'evy-driven moving averages. The theory relies on recent multivariate central limit theorems obtained in [3] via Malliavin calculus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Mathias Mørck Ljungdahl , Mark Podolskij

Identifying the full entropy production of active particles is a challenging task. We introduce a microscopic, thermodynamically consistent model, which leads to active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck statistics in the continuum limit. Our minimal model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-15 Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

We establish a general theory of optimal strong error estimation for numerical approximations of a second-order parabolic stochastic partial differential equation with monotone drift driven by a multiplicative infinite-dimensional Wiener…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Zhihui Liu , Zhonghua Qiao

We consider statistical inference for a class of mixed-effects models with system noise described by a non-Gaussian integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Under the asymptotics where the number of individuals goes to infinity with possibly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Takumi Imamura , Hiroki Masuda

We study the joint asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the parameter $(\theta,\,\mu)$ for the non-ergodic Vasicek models driven by seven specific Gaussian processes. %The similar result concerning to the non-ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yong Chen , Wu-Jun Gao , Ying Li

The Rosenblatt process is a self-similar non-Gaussian process which lives in second Wiener chaos, and occurs as the limit of correlated random sequences in so-called \textquotedblleft non-central limit theorems\textquotedblright. It shares…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-17 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Ciprian Tudor , Frederi Viens

This paper is a survey of recent results on the adaptive robust non parametric methods for the continuous time regression model with the semi - martingale noises with jumps. The noises are modeled by the L\'evy processes, the Ornstein --…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process may be used to generate a noise signal with a finite correlation time. If a one-dimensional stochastic process is driven by such a noise source, it may be analysed by solving a Fokker-Planck equation in two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Wilkinson

Active Matter models commonly consider particles with overdamped dynamics subject to a force (speed) with constant modulus and random direction. Some models include also random noise in particle displacement (Wiener process) resulting in a…

Assuming that a stochastic process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is a sum of a compound Poisson process $Y=(Y_t)_{t\geq 0}$ with known intensity $\lambda$ and unknown jump size density $f,$ and an independent Brownian motion $Z=(Z_t)_{t\geq 0},$ we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Shota Gugushvili

Stochastic burst-like oscillations are common in physiological signals, yet there are few compact generative models that capture their transient structure. We propose a numerical-twin framework that represents transient narrowband activity…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-30 P. O. Michel , C. Sun , S. Jaffard , D. Longrois , D. Holcman

We consider parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by a Wiener process and a compound Poisson process as small noises. The goal is to give a threshold-type quasi-likelihood estimator and show its consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yasutaka Shimizu
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