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Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

In this paper, we focus on susceptible-infected-susceptible dynamics on metapopulation networks, where nodes represent subpopulations, and where agents diffuse and interact. Recent studies suggest that heterogeneous network structure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-11 Taro Takaguchi , Renaud Lambiotte

Using the SIS model on unweighted and weighted networks, we consider the disease localization phenomenon. In contrast to the well-recognized point of view that diseases infect a finite fraction of vertices right above the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-04 A. V. Goltsev , S. N. Dorogovtsev , J. G. Oliveira , J. F. F. Mendes

We study some simple models of disease transmission on small-world networks, in which either the probability of infection by a disease or the probability of its transmission is varied, or both. The resulting models display epidemic behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

Models of threshold driven contagion explain the cascading spread of information, behavior, systemic risk, and epidemics on social, financial and biological networks. At odds with empirical observation, these models predict that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-23 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

Two crucial elements facilitate the understanding and control of communicable disease spread within a social setting. These components are, the underlying contact structure among individuals that determines the pattern of disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Pierre-Andre Noel , Bahman Davoudi , Louis J. Dube , Robert C. Brunham , Babak Pourbohloul

Despite centuries of work on containment and mitigation strategies, infectious diseases are still a major problem facing humanity. This work is concerned with simulating heterogeneous contact structures and understanding how the structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Jan Kreischer , Adrian Iten , Astrid Jehoul

We study the spread of disease in an SIS model. The model considered is a time-varying, switched model, in which the parameters of the SIS model are subject to abrupt change. We show that the joint spectral radius can be used as a threshold…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-21 Mustapha Ait Rami , Vahid S. Bokharaie , Oliver Mason , Fabian R. Wirth

We study the stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible model of epidemic processes on finite directed and weighted networks with arbitrary structure. We present a new lower bound on the exponential rate at which the probabilities of nodes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Naoki Masuda , Victor M. Preciado , Masaki Ogura

Dynamical processes taking place on networks have received much attention in recent years, especially on various models of random graphs (including small world and scale free networks). They model a variety of phenomena, including the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jonathan Rowe , Boris Mitavskiy

An epidemic spreading in a network calls for a decision on the part of the network members: They should decide whether to protect themselves or not. Their decision depends on the trade-off between their perceived risk of being infected and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 George Theodorakopoulos , Jean-Yves Le Boudec , John S. Baras

Social network analysis is now widely used to investigate the dynamics of infectious disease spread from person to person. Vaccination dramatically disrupts the disease transmission process on a contact network, and indeed, sufficiently…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-05 Ellsworth Campbell , Marcel Salathé

We use the annealed formulation of complex networks to study the dynamical behavior of disease spreading on both static and adaptive networked systems. This unifying approach relies on the annealed adjacency matrix, representing one network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-09 Beniamino Guerra , Jesus Gomez-Gardenes

We formulate a compartmental model for the propagation of a respiratory disease in a patchy environment. The patches are connected through the mobility of individuals, and we assume that disease transmission and recovery are possible during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Indrajit Ghosh , Sk Shahid Nadim , Soumyendu Raha , Debnath Pal

In many real-world scenarios, it is nearly impossible to collect explicit social network data. In such cases, whole networks must be inferred from underlying observations. Here, we formulate the problem of inferring latent social networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2010-10-28 Seth A. Myers , Jure Leskovec

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

Although suppressing the spread of a disease is usually achieved by investing in public resources, in the real world only a small percentage of the population have access to government assistance when there is an outbreak, and most must…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Xiaolong Chen , Ruijie Wang , Ming Tang , Shimin Cai , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

The science of networks has revolutionised research into the dynamics of interacting elements. It could be argued that epidemiology in particular has embraced the potential of network theory more than any other discipline. Here we review…