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When Martin Gardner first presented the Two-Children problem, he made a mistake in its solution. Later he corrected the mistake in another publication, but unfortunately his incorrect solution is more widely known than his correction. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Tanya Khovanova

The intractability of any problem and the randomness of its solutions have an obvious intuitive connection. However, the challenge till now has been that there is no practical way to firmly establish if the solution to a problem is actually…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Arun U

This article presents a general solution to the problem of computational complexity. First, it gives a historical introduction to the problem since the revival of the foundational problems of mathematics at the end of the 19th century.…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Rami Zaidan

Philosophers writing about the ravens paradox often note that Nicod's Condition (NC) holds given some set of background information, and fails to hold against others, but rarely go any further. That is, it is usually not explored which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-07-17 Hadi Mohasel Afshar , Peter Sunehag

The double slit experiment is iconic and widely used in classrooms to demonstrate the fundamental mystery of quantum physics. The puzzling feature is that the probability of an electron arriving at the detector when both slits are open is…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-02-01 Joseph Samuel

Practicing mathematicians often assume that mathematical claims, when they are true, have good reasons to be true. Such a state of affairs is "unreasonable", in Wigner's sense, because basic results in computational complexity suggest that…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Simon DeDeo

In 1693, Isaac Newton answered a query from Samuel Pepys about a problem involving dice. Newton's analysis is discussed and attention is drawn to an error he made.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stephen M. Stigler

(l) I have enough evidence to render the sentence S probable. (la) So, relative to what I know, it is rational of me to believe S. (2) Now that I have more evidence, S may no longer be probable. (2a) So now, relative to what I know, it is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-26 Henry E. Kyburg

A simple framework for reasoning under uncertainty and intervention is introduced. This is achieved in three steps. First, logic is restated in set-theoretic terms to obtain a framework for reasoning under certainty. Second, this framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Pedro A. Ortega

Consider the following story: A teacher announces to her students a test for the following week, such that the test will be ``surprising''. The students use this as the basis for a ``logical derivation'' and reach a contradiction, which…

Logic · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Martin Dietzfelbinger

`Terquem's problem' is a name given in the twentieth century to the problem of enumerating certain integer sequences whose entries alternate in parity. In particular, this problem asks for the count of strictly increasing length $m$…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Robert G. Donnelly , Molly W. Dunkum , Rachel McCoy

Specialized intelligent systems can be found everywhere: finger print, handwriting, speech, and face recognition, spam filtering, chess and other game programs, robots, et al. This decade the first presumably complete mathematical theory of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-12-30 Marcus Hutter

This is a set of 288 questions written for a Moore-style course in Mathematical Logic. I have used these (or some variation) four times in a beginning graduate course. Topics covered are: propositional logic axioms of ZFC wellorderings and…

Logic · Mathematics 2008-02-03 Arnold W. Miller

Logical theories have been developed which have allowed temporal reasoning about eventualities (a la Galton) such as states, processes, actions, events, processes and complex eventualities such as sequences and recurrences of other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-03 B. O. Akinkunmi

The prediction of the final state probabilities of a general cuboid randomly thrown onto a surface is a problem that naturally arises in the minds of men and women familiar with regular cubic dice and the basic concepts of probability.…

Classical Physics · Physics 2014-07-24 G. A. T. Pender , M. Uhrin

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

The problem of time, considered as a problem in the usual physical context, is reflected in relation with the paper by Kauffman and Smolin (gr-qc/9703026). It is shown that the problem is a misposed problem in the sense that it was raised…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-02-03 Hitoshi Kitada , Lancelot R. Fletcher

This two-parts paper offers a survey of linear logic and ludics, which were introduced by Girard in 1986 and 2001, respectively. Both theories revisit mathematical logic from first principles, with inspiration from and applications to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-06-17 Pierre-Louis Curien

I think we can agree that dealing with uncertainty is not easy. Probability is the main tool for dealing with uncertainty, and we know there are many probability-related puzzles and paradoxes. Here I describe a rather idiosyncratic…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-19 Yudi Pawitan

We give a new proof for Godel's second incompleteness theorem, based on Kolmogorov complexity, Chaitin's incompleteness theorem, and an argument that resembles the surprise examination paradox. We then go the other way around and suggest…

Logic · Mathematics 2010-11-24 Shira Kritchman , Ran Raz