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Related papers: Normalizing the causality between time series

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Causality is vital for understanding true cause-and-effect relationships between variables within predictive models, rather than relying on mere correlations, making it highly relevant in the field of Explainable AI. In an automated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Arturo Fredes , Jordi Vitria

Inferring nonlinear and asymmetric causal relationships between multivariate longitudinal data is a challenging task with wide-ranging application areas including clinical medicine, mathematical biology, economics and environmental…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-25 Tom Edinburgh , Stephen J. Eglen , Ari Ercole

Given an inverse problem with a normalizing flow prior, we wish to estimate the distribution of the underlying signal conditioned on the observations. We approach this problem as a task of conditional inference on the pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Jay Whang , Erik M. Lindgren , Alexandros G. Dimakis

We present a possible approach to the study of the renormalization group (RG) flow based entirely on the information theory. The average information loss under a single step of Wilsonian RG transformation is evaluated as a conditional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-13 S. M. Apenko

Causal discovery aims to recover information about an unobserved causal graph from the observable data it generates. Layerings are orderings of the variables which place causes before effects. In this paper, we provide ways to recover…

Uncovering causal interdependencies from observational data is one of the great challenges of nonlinear time series analysis. In this paper, we discuss this topic with the help of information-theoretic concept known as R\'enyi information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Petr Jizba , Hynek Lavička , Zlata Tabachová

Through examples of coordinate and probability transformation between different distributions, the basic principle of normalizing flow is introduced in a simple and concise manner. From the perspective of the distribution of random variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Hongjun Zhang

Causal reasoning is essential for business process interventions and improvement, requiring a clear understanding of causal relationships among activity execution times in an event log. Recent work introduced a method for discovering causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Yuval David , Fabiana Fournier , Lior Limonad , Inna Skarbovsky

Generative models are a promising tool to address the sampling problem in multi-body and condensed-matter systems in the framework of statistical mechanics. In this work, we show that normalizing flows can be used to learn a transformation…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-08-23 Alessandro Coretti , Sebastian Falkner , Phillip Geissler , Christoph Dellago

Normality is the most often mathematical supposition used in data modeling. Nonetheless, even based on the law of large numbers (LLN), normality is a strong presumption given that the presence of asymmetry and multi-modality in real-world…

A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Li Zhou , Lu Qiu , Changgui Gu , Huijie Yang

The information flow-based quantitative causality analysis has been widely applied in different disciplines because of its origin from first principles, its concise form, and its computational efficiency. So far the algorithm for its…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-08 X. San Liang

Normalizing Flows are generative models which produce tractable distributions where both sampling and density evaluation can be efficient and exact. The goal of this survey article is to give a coherent and comprehensive review of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Ivan Kobyzev , Simon J. D. Prince , Marcus A. Brubaker

Complex networks have been used intensively to investigate the flow and dynamics of many natural systems including the climate system. Here, we develop a percolation based measure, the order parameter, to study and quantify climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-02-24 Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

We introduce an information-theoretic method for quantifying causality in chaotic systems. The approach, referred to as IT-causality, quantifies causality by measuring the information gained about future events conditioned on the knowledge…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-01 Adrián Lozano-Durán , Gonzalo Arranz , Yuenong Ling

Many applications collect a large number of time series, for example, the financial data of companies quoted in a stock exchange, the health care data of all patients that visit the emergency room of a hospital, or the temperature sequences…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Neural ordinary differential equations describe how values change in time. This is the reason why they gained importance in modeling sequential data, especially when the observations are made at irregular intervals. In this paper we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Marin Biloš , Johanna Sommer , Syama Sundar Rangapuram , Tim Januschowski , Stephan Günnemann

A novel heuristic approach is proposed here for time series data analysis, dubbed Generalized weighted permutation entropy, which amalgamates and generalizes beyond their original scope two well established data analysis methods:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-19 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Tatijana Stosic , Borko Stosic

Following the growing success of generative neural networks in LHC simulations, the crucial question is how to control the networks and assign uncertainties to their event output. We show how Bayesian normalizing flow or invertible networks…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-12-07 Marco Bellagente , Manuel Haußmann , Michel Luchmann , Tilman Plehn

Normalization and scaling are fundamental preprocessing steps in time series modeling, yet their role in Transformer-based models remains underexplored from a theoretical perspective. In this work, we present the first formal analysis of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Sofiane Ennadir , Tianze Wang , Oleg Smirnov , Sahar Asadi , Lele Cao