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We study the distribution of maxima (Extreme Value Statistics) for sequences of observables computed along orbits generated by random transformations. The underlying, deterministic, dynamical system can be regular or chaotic. In the former…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We develop and generalize the theory of extreme value for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. We apply our results to non-autonomous dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

We show that the probability of appearance of synchronisation in chaotic coupled map lattices is related to the distribution of the maximum of a certain observable evaluated along almost all orbit. We show that such distribution belongs to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-10 D. Faranda , H. Ghoudi , P. Guiraud , S. Vaienti

We provide formulas to compute the coefficients entering the affine scaling needed to get a non-degenerate function for the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of some kind of observable computed along the orbit of a randomly perturbed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-07-26 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Pierre Guiraud , Sandro Vaienti

We study non-stationary stochastic processes arising from sequential dynamical systems built on maps with a neutral fixed points and prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for such processes. We use an approach developed in \cite{FFV16},…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

In this paper we prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for dynamical systems perturbed by instrument-like-error, also called observational noise. An orbit perturbed with observational noise mimics the behavior of an instrumentally…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti

We consider the extremal shot noise defined by $$M(y)=\sup\{mh(y-x);(x,m)\in\Phi\},$$ where $\Phi$ is a Poisson point process on $\bbR^d\times (0,+\infty)$ with intensity $\lambda dxG(dm)$ and $h:\bbR^d\to [0,+\infty]$ is a measurable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Clément Dombry

We give a brief account of application of extreme value theory in dynamical systems by using perturbation techniques associated to the transfer operator. We will apply it to the baker's map and we will get a precise formula for the extremal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Jason Atnip , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

The object of this paper is twofold. From one side we study the dichotomy, in terms of the Extremal Index of the possible Extreme Value Laws, when the rare events are centred around periodic or non periodic points. Then we build a general…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Hale Aytaç , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

We investigate extreme value theory of a class of random sequences defined by the all-time suprema of aggregated self-similar Gaussian processes with trend. This study is motivated by its potential applications in various areas and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems that have a singular measure. Using the block maxima approach described in Faranda et al. [2011] we show that,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We introduce a new dynamical indicator of stability based on the Extreme Value statistics showing that it provides an insight on the local stability properties of dynamical systems. The indicator perform faster than other based on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

This paper introduces a sophisticated and adaptable framework combining extreme value theory with radio maps to spatially model extreme channel conditions accurately. Utilising existing signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) measurements and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Dian Echevarría Pérez , Onel L. Alcaraz López , Hirley Alves

Efficient handover (HO) strategies are essential for maintaining the stringent performance requirements of ultra-reliable communication (URC) systems. This work introduces a novel HO framework designed from a physical-layer perspective,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Dian Echevarría Pérez , Onel L. Alcaraz López , Hirley Alves

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

The extremal index is a quantity introduced in extreme value theory to measure the presence of clusters of exceedances. In the dynamical systems framework, it provides important information about the dynamics of the underlying systems. In…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Th. Caby , D. Faranda , S. Vaienti , P. Yiou
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