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Selecting input variables or design points for statistical models has been of great interest in adaptive design and active learning. Motivated by two scientific examples, this paper presents a strategy of selecting the design points for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Chiwoo Park , Peihua Qiu , Jennifer Carpena-Núñez , Rahul Rao , Michael Susner , Benji Maruyama

Analysing non-Gaussian spatial-temporal data requires introducing spatial as well as temporal dependence in generalised linear models through the link function of an exponential family distribution. Unlike in Gaussian likelihoods, inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Soumyakanti Pan , Lu Zhang , Jonathan R. Bradley , Sudipto Banerjee

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations. However, this method, like other…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sanmitra Ghosh , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Koushik Maharatna

New telescopes like the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) will push into a new sensitivity regime and expose systematics, such as direction-dependent effects, that could previously be ignored. Current methods for handling such systematics rely…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-22 Michelle Lochner , Iniyan Natarajan , Jonathan T. L. Zwart , Oleg Smirnov , Bruce A. Bassett , Nadeem Oozeer , Martin Kunz

Bayesian model comparison frameworks can be used when fitting models to data in order to infer the appropriate model complexity in a data-driven manner. We aim to use them to detect the correct number of major episodes of star formation…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-01-27 Andrew J. Lawler , Viviana Acquaviva

Classification and characterization of variable phenomena and transient phenomena are critical for astrophysics and cosmology. These objects are commonly studied using photometric time series or spectroscopic data. Given that many ongoing…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Javiera Astudillo , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara , Pablo Huijse

A new theoretical technique for understanding, analyzing and developing optical systems is presented. The approach is statistical in nature, where information about an object under investigation is discovered, by examining deviations from a…

Optics · Physics 2016-09-20 Damien P. Kelly

We propose a nonparametric procedure to achieve fast inference in generative graphical models when the number of latent states is very large. The approach is based on iterative latent variable preselection, where we alternate between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-06 Jacquelyn A. Shelton , Jan Gasthaus , Zhenwen Dai , Joerg Luecke , Arthur Gretton

Many astrophysical phenomena are time-varying, in the sense that their intensity, energy spectrum, and/or the spatial distribution of the emission suddenly change. This paper develops a method for modeling a time series of images. Under the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-24 Cong Xu , Hans Moritz Günther , Vinay L. Kashyap , Thomas C. M. Lee , Andreas Zezas

Over the past 10 years Bayesian methods have rapidly grown more popular as several computationally intensive statistical algorithms have become feasible with increased computer power. In this paper, we begin with a general description of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-19 David A. van Dyk , Alanna Connors , Vinay L. Kashyap , Aneta Siemiginowska

Modern astronomy increasingly relies upon systematic surveys, whose dedicated telescopes continuously observe the sky across varied wavelength ranges of the electromagnetic spectrum; some surveys also observe non-electromagnetic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-14 Tamas Budavari , Thomas J. Loredo

For biological experiments aiming at calibrating models with unknown parameters, a good experimental design is crucial, especially for those subject to various constraints, such as financial limitations, time consumption and physical…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-22 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Understanding the properties of transient gravitational waves and their sources is of broad interest in physics and astronomy. Bayesian inference is the standard framework for astro-physical measurement in transient gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-10-07 Rory Smith , Gregory Ashton , Avi Vajpeyi , Colm Talbot

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

Rapid detection of spatial events that propagate across a sensor network is of wide interest in many modern applications. In particular, in communications, radar, IoT, environmental monitoring, and biosurveillance, we may observe…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Topi Halme , Eyal Nitzan , Visa Koivunen

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

The Ramsey sequence is a canonical example of a quantum phase measurement for a spin qubit. In Ramsey measurements, the measurement efficiency can be optimized through careful selection of settings for the phase accumulation time setting,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-27 Robert D. McMichael , Sergey Dushenko , Sean M. Blakley

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano
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