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The state-of-the-art linked Gaussian process offers a way to build analytical emulators for systems of computer models. We generalize the closed form expressions for the linked Gaussian process under the squared exponential kernel to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-09 Deyu Ming , Serge Guillas

The paper considers nonparametric kernel density/regression estimation from a stochastic optimization point of view. The estimation problem is represented through a family of stochastic optimization problems. Recursive constrained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Vladimir Norkin , Vladimir Kirilyuk

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

Generative models, like large language models, are becoming increasingly relevant in our daily lives, yet a theoretical framework to assess their generalization behavior and uncertainty does not exist. Particularly, the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

With the significant advancement in quantum computation in the past couple of decades, the exploration of machine-learning subroutines using quantum strategies has become increasingly popular. Gaussian process regression is a widely used…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-07 Siddhartha Das , George Siopsis , Christian Weedbrook

Suppose that $\gamma$ and $\sigma$ are two continuous bounded variation paths which take values in a finite-dimensional inner product space $V$. Recent papers have introduced the truncated and the untruncated signature kernel of $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons , Xingcheng Xu

This paper discusses a special kind of a simple yet possibly powerful algorithm, called single-kernel Gradraker (SKG), which is an adaptive learning method predicting unknown nodal values in a network using known nodal values and the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-28 Yue Zhao , Ender Ayanoglu

Let a family of gradient Gaussian vector fields on $ \mathbb{Z}^d $ be given. We show the existence of a uniform finite range decomposition of the corresponding covariance operators, that is, the covariance operator can be written as a sum…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-02-07 Stefan Adams , Roman Kotecký , Stefan Müller

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

We introduce a simple, rigorous, and unified framework for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), and for solving inverse problems (IPs) involving the identification of parameters in PDEs, using the framework of Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Yifan Chen , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M Stuart

Traditional hidden Markov models have been a useful tool to understand and model stochastic dynamic data; in the case of non-Gaussian data, models such as mixture of Gaussian hidden Markov models can be used. However, these suffer from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Gustav Eje Henter

Signature kernels, inner products of path signatures, underpin several machine learning algorithms for multivariate time series analysis. For bounded variation paths, signature kernels were recently shown to solve a Goursat PDE. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Maud Lemercier , Terry Lyons , Cristopher Salvi

In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-27 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

Gaussian process regression is a well-established Bayesian machine learning method. We propose a new approach to Gaussian process regression using quantum kernels based on parameterized quantum circuits. By employing a hardware-efficient…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-06 Frederic Rapp , Marco Roth

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

We establish heat kernel and gradient estimates for the density of kinetic degenerate Kolmogorov stochastic differentia equations. Our results are established under somehow minimal assumptions that guarantee the SDE is weakly well posed.

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-23 P Chaudru de Raynal , S Menozzi , A Pesce , X Zhang

We prove that kernel covariance embeddings lead to information-theoretically perfect separation of distinct continuous probability distributions. In statistical terms, we establish that testing for the \emph{equality} of two non-atomic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Leonardo V. Santoro , Kartik G. Waghmare , Victor M. Panaretos

Gaussian processes provide a compact representation for modeling and estimating an unknown function, that can be updated as new measurements of the function are obtained. This paper extends this powerful framework to the case where the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-30 Jilles van Hulst , Roy van Zuijlen , Duarte Antunes , W. P. M. H. , Heemels

We consider the stochastic differential equation on $\mathbb{R}^d$ given by $$ \, \mathrm{d}X_t = b(t,X_t) \, \mathrm{d}t + \, \mathrm{d} B_t, $$ where $B$ is a Brownian motion and $b$ is considered to be a distribution of regularity $ >…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Nicolas Perkowski , Willem van Zuijlen