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In recent years, probabilistic forecasting is an emerging topic, which is why there is a growing need of suitable methods for the evaluation of multivariate predictions. We analyze the sensitivity of the most common scoring rules,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-17 Florian Ziel , Kevin Berk

In data science, it is often required to estimate dependencies between different data sources. These dependencies are typically calculated using Pearson's correlation, distance correlation, and/or mutual information. However, none of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Rahul Agarwal , Pierre Sacre , Sridevi V. Sarma

Reliability is an essential measure of how closely observed scores represent latent scores (reflecting constructs), assuming some latent variable measurement model. We present a general theoretical framework of reliability, placing emphasis…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yang Liu , Jolynn Pek , Alberto Maydeu-Olivares

Given a database and a target attribute of interest, how can we tell whether there exists a functional, or approximately functional dependence of the target on any set of other attributes in the data? How can we reliably, without bias to…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Panagiotis Mandros , Mario Boley , Jilles Vreeken

Conditional independence (CI) testing arises naturally in many scientific problems and applications domains. The goal of this problem is to investigate the conditional independence between a response variable $Y$ and another variable $X$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Adel Javanmard , Mohammad Mehrabi

As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Ze Jin , Xiaohan Yan , David S. Matteson

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang

We present a novel data-oriented statistical framework that assesses the presumed Gaussian dependence structure in a pairwise setting. This refers to both multivariate normality and normal copula goodness-of-fit testing. The proposed test…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jakub Woźny , Piotr Jaworski , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

We propose two types of equal predictive ability (EPA) tests with panels to compare the predictions made by two forecasters. The first type, namely $S$-statistics, focuses on the overall EPA hypothesis which states that the EPA holds on…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-07 Oguzhan Akgun , Alain Pirotte , Giovanni Urga , Zhenlin Yang

Dependency functions of dependent variables are relevant for i) performing uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis in presence of dependent variables and/or correlated variables, and ii) simulating random dependent variables. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Matieyendou Lamboni

Reproducibility is essential to reliable scientific discovery in high-throughput experiments. In this work we propose a unified approach to measure the reproducibility of findings identified from replicate experiments and identify putative…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-24 Qunhua Li , James B. Brown , Haiyan Huang , Peter J. Bickel

The empirical copula has proved to be useful in the construction and understanding of many statistical procedures related to dependence within random vectors. The empirical beta copula is a smoothed version of the empirical copula that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Betina Berghaus , Johan Segers

We propose a new class of estimators for Pickands dependence function which is based on the concept of minimum distance estimation. An explicit integral representation of the function $A^*(t)$, which minimizes a weighted $L^2$-distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Stanislav Volgushev

A possible drawback of the ordinary correlation coefficient $\rho$ for two real random variables $X$ and $Y$ is that zero correlation does not imply independence. In this paper we introduce a new correlation coefficient $\rho^*$ which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wicher P. Bergsma

In this paper, we introduce a ${\mathcal L}_2$ type test for testing mutual independence and banded dependence structure for high dimensional data. The test is constructed based on the pairwise distance covariance and it accounts for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Shun Yao , Xianyang Zhang , Xiaofeng Shao

It is often reasonable to assume that the dependence structure of a bivariate continuous distribution belongs to the class of extreme-value copulas. The latter are characterized by their Pickands dependence function. In this paper, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Christian Genest , Ivan Kojadinovic , Johanna Nešlehová , Jun Yan

Conditional local independence is an asymmetric independence relation among continuous time stochastic processes. It describes whether the evolution of one process is directly influenced by another process given the histories of additional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Alexander Mangulad Christgau , Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

Copulas are essential tools in statistics and probability theory, enabling the study of the dependence structure between random variables independently of their marginal distributions. Among the various types of copulas, Ratio-Type Copulas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Ziad Adwan , Nicola Sottocornola

This paper studies the degree to which a bivariate copula fails to be symmetric under coordinate permutation, a property known as non-exchangeability. Working within an axiomatic framework that quantifies this asymmetry through a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Manuel Úbeda-Flores
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