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We investigate the cutoff phenomenon for Markov processes under information divergences such as $f$-divergences and R\'enyi divergences. We classify most common divergences into four types, namely $L^2$-type, $\mathrm{TV}$-type,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Youjia Wang , Michael C. H. Choi

The effect of perturbations of parameters for uniquely convergent imprecise Markov chains is studied. We provide the maximal distance between the distributions of original and perturbed chain and maximal degree of imprecision, given the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We develop some sufficient conditions for the stochastic ordering between hitting times, in a fixed state, for two Markov chains. In particular, we focus attention on the so called \emph{skip-free} case. In the analysis of such a case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

We consider a system of $N$ particles interacting through their empirical distribution on a finite state space in continuous time. In the formal limit as $N\to\infty$, the system takes the form of a nonlinear (McKean--Vlasov) Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Asaf Cohen , Ethan Huffman

Consider the class of (functions of) strictly stationary Markov chains in which (i) the second moments are finite and (ii) absolute regularity (beta-mixing) is satisfied with exponential mixing rate. For (functions of) Markov chains in that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Richard C. Bradley

The "drift-and-minorization" method, introduced and popularized in (Rosenthal, 1995; Meyn and Tweedie, 1994; Meyn and Tweedie, 2012), remains the most popular approach for bounding the convergence rates of Markov chains used in statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Robert M. Anderson , Haosui Duanmu , Aaron Smith , Jun Yang

We investigate the asymptotic in $N$ of the mixing times of a Markov dynamics on $N-1$ ordered particles in an interval. This dynamics consists in resampling at independent Poisson times each particle according to a probability measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Cyril Labbé , Enguérand Petit

A wide class of ``counting'' problems have been studied in Computer Science. Three typical examples are the estimation of - (i) the permanent of an $n\times n$ 0-1 matrix, (ii) the partition function of certain $n-$ particle Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Kannan

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

This paper originally showed a lower bound on mixing time for a non-reversible Markov chain in terms of its largest non-trivial eigenvalue, and used this to re-derive some generalizations of results of Fan Chung. However, the paper has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Montenegro

We study convergence of return- and hitting-time distributions of small sets $E_{k}$ with $\mu(E_{k})\rightarrow0$ in recurrent ergodic dynamical systems preserving an infinite measure $\mu$. Some properties which are easy in finite measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Simon Rechberger , Roland Zweimüller

We present new concentration of measure inequalities for Markov chains, generalising results for chains that are contracting in Wasserstein distance. These are particularly suited to establishing the cut-off phenomenon for suitable chains.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Andrew Barbour , Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

We study mixing times for the totally asymmetric simple exclusion process (TASEP) on a circle of length $N$ with $k$ particles. We show that the mixing time is of order $N^2 \min(k,N-k)^{-1/2}$, and that the cutoff phenomenon does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Dominik Schmid , Allan Sly

We make a connection between the continuous time and lazy discrete time Markov chains through the comparison of cutoffs and mixing time in total variation distance. For illustration, we consider finite birth and death chains and provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Guan-Yu Chen , Laurent Saloff-Coste

We prove that the mixing time of the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), when initialized in the concentration region of the canonical Gaussian measure, scales as $d^{1/4}$, up to logarithmic factors, where $d$ is the dimension. This scaling is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Stefan Oberdörster

Let X={X_n:n=0,1,2,...} be an irreducible, positive recurrent Markov chain with invariant probability measure \pi. We show that if X satisfies a one-step minorization condition, then \pi can be represented as an infinite mixture. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 James P. Hobert , Christian P. Robert

We consider the computational task of sampling a bit string $x$ from a distribution $\pi(x)=|\langle x|\psi\rangle|^2$, where $\psi$ is the unique ground state of a local Hamiltonian $H$. Our main result describes a direct link between the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-09 Sergey Bravyi , Giuseppe Carleo , David Gosset , Yinchen Liu

Consider a finite irreducible Markov chain with invariant probability $\pi$. Define its inverse communication speed as the expectation to go from x to y, when x, y are sampled independently according to $\pi$. In the discrete time setting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Vivek Borkar , Laurent Miclo

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf