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The second and third-named authors (arXiv:1705.04115) established a Central Limit Theorem for the error term in the Sato-Tate law for families of modular forms. This method was adapted to families of elliptic curves in by the first and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Stephan Baier , Neha Prabhu , Kaneenika Sinha

The generalized P\`olya urn (GPU) models and their variants have been investigated in several disciplines. However, typical assumptions made with respect to the GPU do not include urn models with diagonal replacement matrix, which arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand N. Vidyashankar , William F. Rosenberger

Confidence limits are common place in physics analysis. Great care must be taken in their calculation and use, especially in cases of limited statistics when often one-sided limits are quoted. In order to estimate the stability of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Rajendran Raja

We consider the random walk among random conductances on Z^d. We assume that the conductances are independent, identically distributed and uniformly bounded away from 0 and infinity. We obtain a quantitative version of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

The Chernoff bound is a well-known tool for obtaining a high probability bound on the expectation of a Bernoulli random variable in terms of its sample average. This bound is commonly used in statistical learning theory to upper bound the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-18 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt

This is a note on some results of the central limit theorem for deterministic dynamical systems. First, we give the central limit theorem for martingales, which is a main tool. Then we give the main results on the central limit theorem in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Yuwen Wang

Suppose $B_i:= B(p,r_i)$ are nested balls of radius $r_i$ about a point $p$ in a dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$. The question of whether $T^i x\in B_i$ infinitely often (i. o.) for $\mu$ a.e.\ $x$ is often called the shrinking target problem.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Nicolai Haydn , Matthew Nicol , Sandro Vaienti , Licheng Zhang

We prove a central limit theorem for the algebraic and dynamical degrees of a random composition of Cremona transformations.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Nguyen-Bac Dang , Giulio Tiozzo

In this paper, we obtain an explicit total variation bound in the central limit theorem for the sums of non-i.i.d. random variables. Our results show that, under suitable assumptions, Lindeberg's condition is sufficient and necessary for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 N. T. Dung , H. T. P. Thao

We obtain some sufficient conditions for the Central Limit Theorem for the random processes (fields) with values in the separable part of Holder space in the modern terms of majorizing (minorizing) measures, belonging to X.Fernique and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-23 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We consider the existence of the integrated density of states (IDS) of the Anderson model on the Hilbert space $\ell^2(\mathbb{Z}^d)$ as analogues to the law of large numbers (LLN). In this work, we prove the analogues central limit theorem…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-12-04 Dhriti Ranjan Dolai

We study the number of occurrences of any fixed vincular permutation pattern. We show that this statistics on uniform random permutations is asymptotically normal and describe the speed of convergence. To prove this central limit theorem,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Lisa Hofer

For $1\le p \le \infty$, the Fr\'echet $p$-mean of a probability measure on a metric space is an important notion of central tendency that generalizes the usual notions in the real line of mean ($p=2$) and median ($p=1$). In this work we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Steven N. Evans , Adam Q. Jaffe

Stochastic dynamical systems consisting of non-invertible continuous maps on an interval are studied. It is proved that if they satisfy the recently introduced so-called $\mu$-injectivity and some mild assumptions, then proximality,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Oppelmayer , Tomasz Szarek

By probabilistic logic I mean a normative theory of belief that explains how a body of evidence affects one's degree of belief in a possible hypothesis. A new axiomatization of such a theory is presented which avoids a finite additivity…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Romas Aleliunas

We consider a borderline case: the central limit theorem for a strictly stationary time series with infinite variance but a Gaussian limit. In the iid case a well-known sufficient condition for this central limit theorem is regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch

We refine the classical Lindeberg-Feller central limit theorem by obtaining asymptotic bounds on the Kolmogorov distance, the Wasserstein distance, and the parametrized Prokhorov distances in terms of a Lindeberg index. We thus obtain more…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 Ben Berckmoes , Geert Molenberghs

We prove a functional central limit theorem for subgraph counts in a dynamic version of the random connection model. To establish tightness, we develop a dynamic extension of the cumulant method.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Nikolai Kriukov , Michel Mandjes , Moritz Otto

In this paper, we prove a multivariate central limit theorem for $\ell_q$-norms of high-dimensional random vectors that are chosen uniformly at random in an $\ell_p^n$-ball. As a consequence, we provide several applications on the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno , Christoph Thaele